Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow edge for moderate-leaning Candidate M at 49.5% to win Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election or June 21 runoff, closely trailed by center-right Paloma Valencia (41.1%) and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro (37.5%), reflecting a fragmented field amid high polarization. Recent AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and other polls post-March 8 legislative vote and inter-party primaries show Cepeda leading first-round intention at 36-39%, with Valencia surging to 23-24% via strong Centro Democrático consulta performance and Abelardo de la Espriella at 27-28%; however, Cepeda trails both in runoff scenarios due to anti-Pacto Histórico sentiment from Petro's tenure. Right-wing vote split and undecideds (20-25%) keep the race tight—consolidation behind Valencia or moderate surge could separate frontrunners ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
कोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
पलोमा वेलेंसिया 41.1%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला 19%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी) <1%
$20,313,460 वॉल्यूम
$20,313,460 वॉल्यूम
पलोमा वेलेंसिया
41%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला
19%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी)
<1%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो (सीआरबी)
<1%
कार्लोस फेलिपे कोरडोबा
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
विक्की डाविला (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवार (एचसी)
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान (एनएल)
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरा (आरसी)
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
डैनियल किंटेरेो
<1%
रॉय बैरेरस
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिंज़ोन
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
पलोमा वेलेंसिया 41.1%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला 19%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी) <1%
$20,313,460 वॉल्यूम
$20,313,460 वॉल्यूम
पलोमा वेलेंसिया
41%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला
19%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी)
<1%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो (सीआरबी)
<1%
कार्लोस फेलिपे कोरडोबा
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
विक्की डाविला (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवार (एचसी)
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान (एनएल)
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरा (आरसी)
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
डैनियल किंटेरेो
<1%
रॉय बैरेरस
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिंज़ोन
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow edge for moderate-leaning Candidate M at 49.5% to win Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election or June 21 runoff, closely trailed by center-right Paloma Valencia (41.1%) and leftist Iván Cepeda Castro (37.5%), reflecting a fragmented field amid high polarization. Recent AtlasIntel (April 6-9) and other polls post-March 8 legislative vote and inter-party primaries show Cepeda leading first-round intention at 36-39%, with Valencia surging to 23-24% via strong Centro Democrático consulta performance and Abelardo de la Espriella at 27-28%; however, Cepeda trails both in runoff scenarios due to anti-Pacto Histórico sentiment from Petro's tenure. Right-wing vote split and undecideds (20-25%) keep the race tight—consolidation behind Valencia or moderate surge could separate frontrunners ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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