Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCT -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CT -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
$47,340 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$21,773 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$25,567 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$47,340समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$47,340समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes faces Republican Michael Goldstein in Connecticut’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed or via primary on August 11. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent D+13 partisan voting indices and Himes’s 61% victory in 2024, underpins the 95.6% implied probability for Democrats. Himes has maintained substantial fundraising leads and faces no primary opposition, while ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A commanding trader consensus aligns with the district’s voting patterns across Bridgeport, Stamford, and Fairfield County suburbs. Low-probability shifts could occur from a late national Republican wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal, though historical margins and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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