Recent economic data showing resilient labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader expectations for no change at the July FOMC meeting, with the federal funds rate holding steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range at 93.5% implied probability. May employment gains exceeded forecasts while unemployment remained stable near 4.3%, and inflation metrics—pushed higher by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions—continued to run well above the 2% target, prompting the Fed to signal a likely removal of its easing bias at the June meeting. This combination of firm growth and sticky price pressures aligns with economist consensus that policy will remain on hold through year-end, outweighing thin odds on modest adjustments. A material softening in upcoming employment or inflation releases could reopen the door to a 25 basis point cut, though such shifts would need to materialize quickly given the meeting's late-July timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 94%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती 2.3%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.3%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 1.8%
$10,058,864 वॉल्यूम
$10,058,864 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
2%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 94%
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती 2.3%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 2.3%
25 बीपीएस की कमी 1.8%
$10,058,864 वॉल्यूम
$10,058,864 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस की कटौती
$1,504,266 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 बीपीएस की कमी
$1,119,456 वॉल्यूम
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,697,834 वॉल्यूम
94%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$4,153,254 वॉल्यूम
2%
50+ बेसिस प्वाइंट वृद्धि
$1,584,599 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data showing resilient labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader expectations for no change at the July FOMC meeting, with the federal funds rate holding steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range at 93.5% implied probability. May employment gains exceeded forecasts while unemployment remained stable near 4.3%, and inflation metrics—pushed higher by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions—continued to run well above the 2% target, prompting the Fed to signal a likely removal of its easing bias at the June meeting. This combination of firm growth and sticky price pressures aligns with economist consensus that policy will remain on hold through year-end, outweighing thin odds on modest adjustments. A material softening in upcoming employment or inflation releases could reopen the door to a 25 basis point cut, though such shifts would need to materialize quickly given the meeting's late-July timing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,058,864समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data showing resilient labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader expectations for no change at the July FOMC meeting, with the federal funds rate holding steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range at 93.5% implied probability. May employment gains exceeded forecasts while unemployment remained stable near 4.3%, and inflation metrics—pushed higher by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions—continued to run well above the 2% target, prompting the Fed to signal a likely removal of its easing bias at the June meeting. This combination of firm growth and sticky price pressures aligns with economist consensus that policy will remain on hold through year-end, outweighing thin odds on modest adjustments. A material softening in upcoming employment or inflation releases could reopen the door to a 25 basis point cut, though such shifts would need to materialize quickly given the meeting's late-July timing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$10,058,864समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data showing resilient labor market conditions and persistently elevated inflation have anchored trader expectations for no change at the July FOMC meeting, with the federal funds rate holding steady in the 3.50%-3.75% range at 93.5% implied probability. May employment gains exceeded forecasts while unemployment remained stable near 4.3%, and inflation metrics—pushed higher by energy prices amid geopolitical tensions—continued to run well above the 2% target, prompting the Fed to signal a likely removal of its easing bias at the June meeting. This combination of firm growth and sticky price pressures aligns with economist consensus that policy will remain on hold through year-end, outweighing thin odds on modest adjustments. A material softening in upcoming employment or inflation releases could reopen the door to a 25 basis point cut, though such shifts would need to materialize quickly given the meeting's late-July timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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