Recent generic congressional ballot averages from mid-August 2026 place Democrats ahead by roughly 6 to 7 points, aligning with the market's highest-probability outcomes near that range. This positioning reflects standard midterm patterns in which the opposition party benefits from the president's party facing headwinds, including sub-50 percent approval ratings and voter focus on economic conditions. Recent surveys from aggregators such as Nate Silver, Ballotpedia, and Decision Desk HQ have held steady in the D+6 to D+7 band amid polling on issues like inflation and energy prices. Geopolitical developments, including renewed tensions involving Iran and associated rises in gas costs, have contributed to the current edge without producing sharp recent shifts. Scheduled releases around August 24 could still incorporate new fieldwork or adjustments for likely voters that move results within or beyond these bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाDems +6.3% or lower 45%
Dems +6.6–6.7% 24%
Dems +7.0–7.1% 22%
Dems +6.8–6.9% 22%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
Dems +7.2%+
11%
Dems +7.0–7.1%
22%
Dems +6.8–6.9%
22%
Dems +6.6–6.7%
24%
Dems +6.4–6.5%
22%
Dems +6.3% or lower
45%
Dems +6.3% or lower 45%
Dems +6.6–6.7% 24%
Dems +7.0–7.1% 22%
Dems +6.8–6.9% 22%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
Dems +7.2%+
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
Dems +7.0–7.1%
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Dems +6.8–6.9%
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Dems +6.6–6.7%
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
Dems +6.4–6.5%
$0 वॉल्यूम
22%
Dems +6.3% or lower
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
This market will resolve according to the difference in the Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages for Democrats and Republicans for August 24, 2026.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point. Recent generic congressional ballot averages from mid-August 2026 place Democrats ahead by roughly 6 to 7 points, aligning with the market's highest-probability outcomes near that range. This positioning reflects standard midterm patterns in which the opposition party benefits from the president's party facing headwinds, including sub-50 percent approval ratings and voter focus on economic conditions. Recent surveys from aggregators such as Nate Silver, Ballotpedia, and Decision Desk HQ have held steady in the D+6 to D+7 band amid polling on issues like inflation and energy prices. Geopolitical developments, including renewed tensions involving Iran and associated rises in gas costs, have contributed to the current edge without producing sharp recent shifts. Scheduled releases around August 24 could still incorporate new fieldwork or adjustments for likely voters that move results within or beyond these bins.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages for Democrats and Republicans for August 24, 2026.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the difference in the Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages for Democrats and Republicans for August 24, 2026.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point. Recent generic congressional ballot averages from mid-August 2026 place Democrats ahead by roughly 6 to 7 points, aligning with the market's highest-probability outcomes near that range. This positioning reflects standard midterm patterns in which the opposition party benefits from the president's party facing headwinds, including sub-50 percent approval ratings and voter focus on economic conditions. Recent surveys from aggregators such as Nate Silver, Ballotpedia, and Decision Desk HQ have held steady in the D+6 to D+7 band amid polling on issues like inflation and energy prices. Geopolitical developments, including renewed tensions involving Iran and associated rises in gas costs, have contributed to the current edge without producing sharp recent shifts. Scheduled releases around August 24 could still incorporate new fieldwork or adjustments for likely voters that move results within or beyond these bins.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages for Democrats and Republicans for August 24, 2026.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
The difference will be calculated by subtracting the number listed for Republicans from the number listed for Democrats, or vice versa depending on who is leading.
In the event that the market only lists brackets for one party, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the listed party if another party is leading in the average or if the average is tied.
The party ballot share numbers for the specified date must be finalized before it is considered for this market. A date's data points will be considered finalized once the data point for the next date is made available.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot, https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the party averages will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's Generic Congressional Ballot polling averages become permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the polling values to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the event that the resolution source changes to allow additional decimal points, the polling average difference will be calculated by subtracting using the unrounded percentages and then rounding to the nearest tenth of a percentage point.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 18, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic congressional ballot averages from mid-August 2026 place Democrats ahead by roughly 6 to 7 points, aligning with the market's highest-probability outcomes near that range. This positioning reflects standard midterm patterns in which the opposition party benefits from the president's party facing headwinds, including sub-50 percent approval ratings and voter focus on economic conditions. Recent surveys from aggregators such as Nate Silver, Ballotpedia, and Decision Desk HQ have held steady in the D+6 to D+7 band amid polling on issues like inflation and energy prices. Geopolitical developments, including renewed tensions involving Iran and associated rises in gas costs, have contributed to the current edge without producing sharp recent shifts. Scheduled releases around August 24 could still incorporate new fieldwork or adjustments for likely voters that move results within or beyond these bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी 2026 के अमेरिकी हाउस ऑफ रिप्रेजेंटेटिव्स के मिडटर्म चुनावों में लोकप्रिय वोट 8% से 10% के बीच जीत सकती है?
27%
हाँ
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-01 House election by 50% or more?
37%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
96%
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