Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with broad party backing including from President Trump, and her prior record as attorney general. Democrats nominated state Representative Angie Nixon after her primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman, but polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Florida has not elected a Democratic senator since 2012, and recent statewide results reinforce structural advantages for Republicans in turnout and voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Moody, unusually high Democratic mobilization in key urban areas, or a sharp national political shift before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$110,520 वॉल्यूम
$110,520 वॉल्यूम
एश्ले मूडी (र)
92%
एंजी निक्सन (डि)
8%
$110,520 वॉल्यूम
$110,520 वॉल्यूम
एश्ले मूडी (र)
$55,093 वॉल्यूम
92%
एंजी निक्सन (डि)
$55,426 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with broad party backing including from President Trump, and her prior record as attorney general. Democrats nominated state Representative Angie Nixon after her primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman, but polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Florida has not elected a Democratic senator since 2012, and recent statewide results reinforce structural advantages for Republicans in turnout and voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Moody, unusually high Democratic mobilization in key urban areas, or a sharp national political shift before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$110,520बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with broad party backing including from President Trump, and her prior record as attorney general. Democrats nominated state Representative Angie Nixon after her primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman, but polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Florida has not elected a Democratic senator since 2012, and recent statewide results reinforce structural advantages for Republicans in turnout and voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Moody, unusually high Democratic mobilization in key urban areas, or a sharp national political shift before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$110,520बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, her status as the appointed incumbent with broad party backing including from President Trump, and her prior record as attorney general. Democrats nominated state Representative Angie Nixon after her primary upset over better-funded challenger Alex Vindman, but polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points among likely voters. Florida has not elected a Democratic senator since 2012, and recent statewide results reinforce structural advantages for Republicans in turnout and voter registration. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting Moody, unusually high Democratic mobilization in key urban areas, or a sharp national political shift before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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