Ashley Moody, the Republican appointee filling Marco Rubio’s vacated seat, holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state’s consistent Republican lean and her position as the sitting senator seeking a full term. Recent May 2026 polls from Emerson, Change Research, and others show her leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7–11 points in head-to-head tests. Primaries are set for August 18, with the general election on November 3; no major shifts have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and polling realities, with the Republican outcome priced well ahead of the Democratic alternative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$39,281 वॉल्यूम
$39,281 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
83%
डेमोक्रेट
17%
$39,281 वॉल्यूम
$39,281 वॉल्यूम
रिपब्लिकन
$20,148 वॉल्यूम
83%
डेमोक्रेट
$19,133 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody, the Republican appointee filling Marco Rubio’s vacated seat, holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state’s consistent Republican lean and her position as the sitting senator seeking a full term. Recent May 2026 polls from Emerson, Change Research, and others show her leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7–11 points in head-to-head tests. Primaries are set for August 18, with the general election on November 3; no major shifts have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and polling realities, with the Republican outcome priced well ahead of the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,281बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody, the Republican appointee filling Marco Rubio’s vacated seat, holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state’s consistent Republican lean and her position as the sitting senator seeking a full term. Recent May 2026 polls from Emerson, Change Research, and others show her leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7–11 points in head-to-head tests. Primaries are set for August 18, with the general election on November 3; no major shifts have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and polling realities, with the Republican outcome priced well ahead of the Democratic alternative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$39,281बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody, the Republican appointee filling Marco Rubio’s vacated seat, holds a clear edge in the 2026 Florida special Senate election due to the state’s consistent Republican lean and her position as the sitting senator seeking a full term. Recent May 2026 polls from Emerson, Change Research, and others show her leading likely Democratic nominees such as Alex Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7–11 points in head-to-head tests. Primaries are set for August 18, with the general election on November 3; no major shifts have emerged in the past month to narrow the gap. Traders’ consensus reflects these structural and polling realities, with the Republican outcome priced well ahead of the Democratic alternative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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