Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured 59.8% in the prior cycle and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest. The combination of incumbency, fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million cash on hand for the Republican, and limited Democratic recruitment in this Suffolk County-based seat has shaped trader consensus around an 86% Republican win probability for the November 3 general election. No recent events have altered the structural dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,675 वॉल्यूम
$17,675 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$17,675 वॉल्यूम
$17,675 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$7,134 वॉल्यूम
87%
Democratic Party
$10,541 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured 59.8% in the prior cycle and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest. The combination of incumbency, fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million cash on hand for the Republican, and limited Democratic recruitment in this Suffolk County-based seat has shaped trader consensus around an 86% Republican win probability for the November 3 general election. No recent events have altered the structural dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,675समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured 59.8% in the prior cycle and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest. The combination of incumbency, fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million cash on hand for the Republican, and limited Democratic recruitment in this Suffolk County-based seat has shaped trader consensus around an 86% Republican win probability for the November 3 general election. No recent events have altered the structural dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,675समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, consistent with the district’s R+6 partisan lean. Garbarino secured 59.8% in the prior cycle and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest. The combination of incumbency, fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million cash on hand for the Republican, and limited Democratic recruitment in this Suffolk County-based seat has shaped trader consensus around an 86% Republican win probability for the November 3 general election. No recent events have altered the structural dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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