Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's April 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C at 27.5–21.5% as latest China Meteorological Administration models project peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershower risks. Recent severe convective activity through early April, including rainstorms and gales linked to shifting subtropical highs, has introduced lingering moisture and cloud cover that suppress peak heating, differentiating lower outcomes (26–27°C) from slightly warmer scenarios if afternoon clearing occurs. High humidity (80–90%) and light southerly winds further moderate temperatures, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 26°C but vary 2–4°C based on frontal passages. Updated evening advisories from CMA could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 26%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
21%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 20%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C
21%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Guangzhou's April 17 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 26–29°C at 27.5–21.5% as latest China Meteorological Administration models project peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundershower risks. Recent severe convective activity through early April, including rainstorms and gales linked to shifting subtropical highs, has introduced lingering moisture and cloud cover that suppress peak heating, differentiating lower outcomes (26–27°C) from slightly warmer scenarios if afternoon clearing occurs. High humidity (80–90%) and light southerly winds further moderate temperatures, aligning with April climatology where daily highs average 26°C but vary 2–4°C based on frontal passages. Updated evening advisories from CMA could refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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