Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 17, with NiMet and global models like GFS clustering peaks at 33–35°C amid abundant midday sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting surface readings. Atlantic sea breezes, strengthening post-harmattan season, typically cap highs by advecting cooler, humid air, differentiating outcomes—earlier onshore flow favors 33°C (27.5% implied), while delayed breezes or clearer skies tilt toward 34–35°C (46% combined). Rising humidity and potential afternoon clouds add variability, per NiMet's recent bulletins noting hot afternoons around 34°C. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, with rare 35°C+ peaks. Monitor this afternoon's model updates from NiMet for resolution-clarifying shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
33°C 28%
34°C 25%
35°C 22%
32°C 15%
$24,628 वॉल्यूम
$24,628 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
28%
34°C
25%
35°C
22%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
34°C 25%
35°C 22%
32°C 15%
$24,628 वॉल्यूम
$24,628 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
28%
34°C
25%
35°C
22%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos's highest temperature on April 17, with NiMet and global models like GFS clustering peaks at 33–35°C amid abundant midday sunshine and urban heat island effects boosting surface readings. Atlantic sea breezes, strengthening post-harmattan season, typically cap highs by advecting cooler, humid air, differentiating outcomes—earlier onshore flow favors 33°C (27.5% implied), while delayed breezes or clearer skies tilt toward 34–35°C (46% combined). Rising humidity and potential afternoon clouds add variability, per NiMet's recent bulletins noting hot afternoons around 34°C. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, with rare 35°C+ peaks. Monitor this afternoon's model updates from NiMet for resolution-clarifying shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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