Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a warm anticyclonic setup over central Spain, with clear skies and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 35–36 °C on September 15—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.6 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in peak heating tied to boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds differentiating the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Historical records show a September 15 maximum of 34.3 °C, underscoring how current conditions favor an exceedance. Updated runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
36°C 49%
35°C 40%
37°C 9%
34°C 8%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
31°C या उससे कम
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
8%
35°C
40%
36°C
49%
37°C
9%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C या उससे अधिक
2%
36°C 49%
35°C 40%
37°C 9%
34°C 8%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
31°C या उससे कम
$15 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
33°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
5%
34°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
8%
35°C
$302 वॉल्यूम
40%
36°C
$81 वॉल्यूम
49%
37°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
9%
38°C
$45 वॉल्यूम
2%
39°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
40°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
41°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a warm anticyclonic setup over central Spain, with clear skies and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 35–36 °C on September 15—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.6 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in peak heating tied to boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds differentiating the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Historical records show a September 15 maximum of 34.3 °C, underscoring how current conditions favor an exceedance. Updated runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$558समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a warm anticyclonic setup over central Spain, with clear skies and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 35–36 °C on September 15—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.6 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in peak heating tied to boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds differentiating the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Historical records show a September 15 maximum of 34.3 °C, underscoring how current conditions favor an exceedance. Updated runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$558समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a warm anticyclonic setup over central Spain, with clear skies and light southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 35–36 °C on September 15—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 26.6 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with minor differences in peak heating tied to boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds differentiating the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes that dominate trader positioning. Historical records show a September 15 maximum of 34.3 °C, underscoring how current conditions favor an exceedance. Updated runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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