Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
30°C 24%
28°C 22%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
24%
31°C
13%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from AccuWeather (29°C, periods of clouds and sun), Climatempo (31°C, mostly sunny turning cloudy afternoon), and BBC Weather (30°C, sunny intervals) clustering around 28–31°C amid a high-pressure ridge promoting warm, dry conditions with light winds (4–14 km/h ESE to WNW). Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud development from sea breeze incursions, urban heat island amplification in the city center, and minor model divergences on boundary layer mixing, all keeping implied probabilities closely matched below 30% for leaders. Official INMET observations will resolve the market, with low precipitation risk (0%) supporting above-seasonal highs near 25–27°C climatology.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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