Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अप्रैल को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अप्रैल को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 100.0%
10°C या उससे कम <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 वॉल्यूम
$66,336 वॉल्यूम
10°C या उससे कम
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
हाँ
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
15°C 100.0%
10°C या उससे कम <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$66,336 वॉल्यूम
$66,336 वॉल्यूम
10°C या उससे कम
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
हाँ
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official observations from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station confirm the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 16 reached exactly 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders' positions resolved accordingly. This aligns with pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which clustered maximums around 15.5°C amid a cool northerly air mass, partial cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and seasonal norms for mid-April highs near 13-14°C. Realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality assurance processes, though initial synoptic reports show strong agreement across monitoring sites, underscoring the reliability of these ground-truth measurements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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