Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with 16°C (29.5%) and 14°C (20.0%) close behind. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours have tightened around this range, reflecting a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal mid-April warmth—climatological highs average 13°C—while cloud cover caps extremes. Ensemble spreads acknowledge uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing, supporting low odds for 17°C+ (11.5%) or cooler outcomes. IMGW updates and Warsaw station observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 40%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 12%
$13,854 वॉल्यूम
$13,854 वॉल्यूम
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
28%
17°C or higher
12%
15°C 40%
16°C 28%
14°C 22%
17°C or higher 12%
$13,854 वॉल्यूम
$13,854 वॉल्यूम
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
28%
17°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (39.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, with 16°C (29.5%) and 14°C (20.0%) close behind. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours have tightened around this range, reflecting a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal mid-April warmth—climatological highs average 13°C—while cloud cover caps extremes. Ensemble spreads acknowledge uncertainty from variable boundary-layer mixing, supporting low odds for 17°C+ (11.5%) or cooler outcomes. IMGW updates and Warsaw station observations will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न