Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 34%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
17°C or higher 12%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
8%
14°C
25%
15°C
34%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
12%
15°C 34%
16°C 27%
14°C 25%
17°C or higher 12%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
7°C or below
$844 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$1,338 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$1,646 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$760 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$1,175 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$635 वॉल्यूम
3%
13°C
$1,127 वॉल्यूम
8%
14°C
$474 वॉल्यूम
25%
15°C
$343 वॉल्यूम
34%
16°C
$564 वॉल्यूम
27%
17°C or higher
$732 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,561समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$9,561समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 15°C (34%), 16°C (27%), and 14°C (24%) for Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at Chopin Airport, driven by blended forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and IMGW models indicating daytime highs of 14-16°C amid cool northerly winds and variable light cloud cover. Recent 00z/12z runs show ensemble spreads of ±1-2°C, with differentiation stemming from discrepancies in afternoon cloud breaks—thinner cover in BBC/Met Office outlooks boosting potential to 15-16°C, versus denser overcast capping at 14°C—and boundary layer mixing under 10-15 km/h gusts. Yesterday's 15°C max provides a baseline, while mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C. Watch IMGW afternoon updates for resolution shifts before observations begin tomorrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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