Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 13 SpaceX launches in April at 41.5% implied probability, driven by six successful Falcon 9 missions already completed by April 15—including the milestone 1,000th Starlink satellite deployment on April 14 from Cape Canaveral and a West Coast Starlink liftoff the next day—maintaining the company's blistering cadence amid surging constellation demand. The ≤11 outcome (27.6%) and 12 (19.8%) trail closely, reflecting risks from weather delays, pad turnarounds at SLC-40 and SLC-4E, or FAA holds, while higher tallies fade due to no Starship flights (Flight 12 delayed to May) and finite slots for upcoming Starlink groups and potential spy satellite batches. Packed manifests signal 6-7 more missions possible before month-end, underscoring SpaceX's dominance in orbital access.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया≤11 48.9%
12 26.5%
13 24%
14 4.2%
$43,237 वॉल्यूम
$43,237 वॉल्यूम
≤11
28%
12
20%
13
43%
14
4%
15
3%
16
2%
17 or more
1%
≤11 48.9%
12 26.5%
13 24%
14 4.2%
$43,237 वॉल्यूम
$43,237 वॉल्यूम
≤11
28%
12
20%
13
43%
14
4%
15
3%
16
2%
17 or more
1%
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 13 SpaceX launches in April at 41.5% implied probability, driven by six successful Falcon 9 missions already completed by April 15—including the milestone 1,000th Starlink satellite deployment on April 14 from Cape Canaveral and a West Coast Starlink liftoff the next day—maintaining the company's blistering cadence amid surging constellation demand. The ≤11 outcome (27.6%) and 12 (19.8%) trail closely, reflecting risks from weather delays, pad turnarounds at SLC-40 and SLC-4E, or FAA holds, while higher tallies fade due to no Starship flights (Flight 12 delayed to May) and finite slots for upcoming Starlink groups and potential spy satellite batches. Packed manifests signal 6-7 more missions possible before month-end, underscoring SpaceX's dominance in orbital access.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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