Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Fidesz-KDNP securing 36-40% of the popular vote at 97% implied probability, anchored by near-final parliamentary election results on April 12 showing the alliance at 39.56% of the party list vote with 98.9% of precincts reporting. Pre-election polls from Medián (37.9%), 21 Kutatóközpont (38%), and AtlasIntel (39.3%) consistently projected this range, reflecting Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52% amid opposition unity, corruption scandals eroding incumbent support after 16 years in power, and record 79.6% turnout signaling voter demand for change. Despite fraud claims from both sides, international observers deemed the count free and fair; only improbable late adjustments from the remaining precincts or successful legal challenges could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया36-40% 97.8%
40-44% 2.3%
<36% <1%
44-48% <1%
$142,752 वॉल्यूम
$142,752 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
<36%
<1%
36-40%
98%
40-44%
2%
44-48%
<1%
48%+
<1%
36-40% 97.8%
40-44% 2.3%
<36% <1%
44-48% <1%
$142,752 वॉल्यूम
$142,752 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
<36%
$36,337 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36-40%
$40,609 वॉल्यूम
98%
40-44%
$36,955 वॉल्यूम
2%
44-48%
$16,146 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48%+
$12,704 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Fidesz-KDNP securing 36-40% of the popular vote at 97% implied probability, anchored by near-final parliamentary election results on April 12 showing the alliance at 39.56% of the party list vote with 98.9% of precincts reporting. Pre-election polls from Medián (37.9%), 21 Kutatóközpont (38%), and AtlasIntel (39.3%) consistently projected this range, reflecting Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52% amid opposition unity, corruption scandals eroding incumbent support after 16 years in power, and record 79.6% turnout signaling voter demand for change. Despite fraud claims from both sides, international observers deemed the count free and fair; only improbable late adjustments from the remaining precincts or successful legal challenges could shift odds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$142,752समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Fidesz-KDNP securing 36-40% of the popular vote at 97% implied probability, anchored by near-final parliamentary election results on April 12 showing the alliance at 39.56% of the party list vote with 98.9% of precincts reporting. Pre-election polls from Medián (37.9%), 21 Kutatóközpont (38%), and AtlasIntel (39.3%) consistently projected this range, reflecting Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52% amid opposition unity, corruption scandals eroding incumbent support after 16 years in power, and record 79.6% turnout signaling voter demand for change. Despite fraud claims from both sides, international observers deemed the count free and fair; only improbable late adjustments from the remaining precincts or successful legal challenges could shift odds.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$142,752समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Fidesz-KDNP securing 36-40% of the popular vote at 97% implied probability, anchored by near-final parliamentary election results on April 12 showing the alliance at 39.56% of the party list vote with 98.9% of precincts reporting. Pre-election polls from Medián (37.9%), 21 Kutatóközpont (38%), and AtlasIntel (39.3%) consistently projected this range, reflecting Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52% amid opposition unity, corruption scandals eroding incumbent support after 16 years in power, and record 79.6% turnout signaling voter demand for change. Despite fraud claims from both sides, international observers deemed the count free and fair; only improbable late adjustments from the remaining precincts or successful legal challenges could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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