With over 98% of votes counted in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Fidesz-KDNP garnered 39.56% of the party-list vote—the proportional component determining much of the National Assembly's makeup—prompting trader consensus to price the 36-40% outcome at 97.8% implied probability ahead of official certification. This aligns closely with pre-election polls averaging Fidesz-KDNP near 39%, reflecting voter fatigue after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid corruption scandals that fueled Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52.10% and a supermajority of 137 seats. Record 79.56% turnout amplified anti-incumbent sentiment. While Orbán conceded without disputes, final tallies or rare legal challenges could marginally shift the share, though barriers to meaningful change remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया36-40% 97.8%
40-44% 2.3%
36% से कम <1%
44-48% <1%
$143,483 वॉल्यूम
$143,483 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
36% से कम
<1%
36-40%
98%
40-44%
2%
44-48%
<1%
48%+
<1%
36-40% 97.8%
40-44% 2.3%
36% से कम <1%
44-48% <1%
$143,483 वॉल्यूम
$143,483 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
36% से कम
$37,045 वॉल्यूम
<1%
36-40%
$40,611 वॉल्यूम
98%
40-44%
$36,955 वॉल्यूम
2%
44-48%
$16,146 वॉल्यूम
<1%
48%+
$12,727 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.With over 98% of votes counted in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Fidesz-KDNP garnered 39.56% of the party-list vote—the proportional component determining much of the National Assembly's makeup—prompting trader consensus to price the 36-40% outcome at 97.8% implied probability ahead of official certification. This aligns closely with pre-election polls averaging Fidesz-KDNP near 39%, reflecting voter fatigue after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid corruption scandals that fueled Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52.10% and a supermajority of 137 seats. Record 79.56% turnout amplified anti-incumbent sentiment. While Orbán conceded without disputes, final tallies or rare legal challenges could marginally shift the share, though barriers to meaningful change remain high.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$143,483समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.With over 98% of votes counted in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Fidesz-KDNP garnered 39.56% of the party-list vote—the proportional component determining much of the National Assembly's makeup—prompting trader consensus to price the 36-40% outcome at 97.8% implied probability ahead of official certification. This aligns closely with pre-election polls averaging Fidesz-KDNP near 39%, reflecting voter fatigue after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid corruption scandals that fueled Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52.10% and a supermajority of 137 seats. Record 79.56% turnout amplified anti-incumbent sentiment. While Orbán conceded without disputes, final tallies or rare legal challenges could marginally shift the share, though barriers to meaningful change remain high.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by Fidesz-KDNP falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the market will resolve according to the percentage of valid national party list votes won by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$143,483समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 98% of votes counted in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Fidesz-KDNP garnered 39.56% of the party-list vote—the proportional component determining much of the National Assembly's makeup—prompting trader consensus to price the 36-40% outcome at 97.8% implied probability ahead of official certification. This aligns closely with pre-election polls averaging Fidesz-KDNP near 39%, reflecting voter fatigue after Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid corruption scandals that fueled Péter Magyar's Tisza party surge to 52.10% and a supermajority of 137 seats. Record 79.56% turnout amplified anti-incumbent sentiment. While Orbán conceded without disputes, final tallies or rare legal challenges could marginally shift the share, though barriers to meaningful change remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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