Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party capturing over 53% of the popular vote—more than double Fidesz–KDNP's share—with nearly 80% turnout, the highest since 1989, driving trader consensus to price Tisza at 99.7% for popular vote winner. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat Sunday night, acknowledging the clear outcome after 16 years in power, as partial counts from 81% of precincts confirmed Tisza's supermajority path to 138 National Assembly seats. Markets reflect this near-certainty pending final certification by the National Election Office, with minimal risk from recounts or challenges given the margin and Fidesz's acceptance; only extraordinary fraud allegations or court injunctions could shift odds, though none have emerged.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातिस्ज़ा 99.6%
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%
अन्य <1%
$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम
$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम

फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी
<1%

तिस्ज़ा
100%

अन्य
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 99.6%
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%
अन्य <1%
$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम
$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम

फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी
<1%

तिस्ज़ा
100%

अन्य
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party capturing over 53% of the popular vote—more than double Fidesz–KDNP's share—with nearly 80% turnout, the highest since 1989, driving trader consensus to price Tisza at 99.7% for popular vote winner. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat Sunday night, acknowledging the clear outcome after 16 years in power, as partial counts from 81% of precincts confirmed Tisza's supermajority path to 138 National Assembly seats. Markets reflect this near-certainty pending final certification by the National Election Office, with minimal risk from recounts or challenges given the margin and Fidesz's acceptance; only extraordinary fraud allegations or court injunctions could shift odds, though none have emerged.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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