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हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता

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हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता

तिस्ज़ा 99.6%

फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%

अन्य <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम

तिस्ज़ा 99.6%

फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%

अन्य <1%

Polymarket

$1,816,667 वॉल्यूम

क्या फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में राष्ट्रीय सूची में सबसे अधिक वोट हासिल करेगा? icon

फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी

$698,219 वॉल्यूम

<1%

क्या तिस्ज़ा 2026 के हंगेरियाई संसदीय चुनाव में सबसे अधिक राष्ट्रीय सूची वोट जीतेगा? icon

तिस्ज़ा

$798,408 वॉल्यूम

100%

क्या 2026 के हंगेरियन संसदीय चुनाव में कोई अन्य पार्टी राष्ट्रीय सूची में सबसे अधिक वोट जीतेगी? icon

अन्य

$320,040 वॉल्यूम

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party capturing over 53% of the popular vote—more than double Fidesz–KDNP's share—with nearly 80% turnout, the highest since 1989, driving trader consensus to price Tisza at 99.7% for popular vote winner. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat Sunday night, acknowledging the clear outcome after 16 years in power, as partial counts from 81% of precincts confirmed Tisza's supermajority path to 138 National Assembly seats. Markets reflect this near-certainty pending final certification by the National Election Office, with minimal risk from recounts or challenges given the margin and Fidesz's acceptance; only extraordinary fraud allegations or court injunctions could shift odds, though none have emerged.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$1,816,667
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party capturing over 53% of the popular vote—more than double Fidesz–KDNP's share—with nearly 80% turnout, the highest since 1989, driving trader consensus to price Tisza at 99.7% for popular vote winner. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat Sunday night, acknowledging the clear outcome after 16 years in power, as partial counts from 81% of precincts confirmed Tisza's supermajority path to 138 National Assembly seats. Markets reflect this near-certainty pending final certification by the National Election Office, with minimal risk from recounts or challenges given the margin and Fidesz's acceptance; only extraordinary fraud allegations or court injunctions could shift odds, though none have emerged.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$1,816,667
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, तिस्ज़ा 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी 0% पर है।

आज तक, "हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता" ने कुल $1.8 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 5, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 3 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "तिस्ज़ा" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"हंगरी संसदीय चुनाव: लोकप्रिय वोट विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।