Trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary market heavily favors former State Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 62.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 closed primary, propelled by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's endorsement on April 9 affirming his pro-business record and fiscal discipline from eight years in the Kentucky Senate. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds second at 10.2% following head-to-head debates, including a March 26 forum emphasizing conservative credentials, though Alvarado's fundraising edge and name recognition from prior statewide runs bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. Lower probabilities for Adam Perez Arquette, Greg Plucinski, and Gavin Solomon reflect their limited visibility and resources amid competitive field dynamics, with voter registration closing April 20 potentially shaping turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRalph Alvarado 65%
Ryan Dotson 12.9%
Adam Perez Arquette 9.1%
Greg Plucinski 4%
$17,564 वॉल्यूम
$17,564 वॉल्यूम
Ralph Alvarado
66%
Ryan Dotson
10%
Adam Perez Arquette
9%
Greg Plucinski
4%
Gavin Solomon
1%
Ralph Alvarado 65%
Ryan Dotson 12.9%
Adam Perez Arquette 9.1%
Greg Plucinski 4%
$17,564 वॉल्यूम
$17,564 वॉल्यूम
Ralph Alvarado
66%
Ryan Dotson
10%
Adam Perez Arquette
9%
Greg Plucinski
4%
Gavin Solomon
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the KY-06 Republican primary market heavily favors former State Sen. Ralph Alvarado at 62.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 closed primary, propelled by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's endorsement on April 9 affirming his pro-business record and fiscal discipline from eight years in the Kentucky Senate. State Rep. Ryan Dotson holds second at 10.2% following head-to-head debates, including a March 26 forum emphasizing conservative credentials, though Alvarado's fundraising edge and name recognition from prior statewide runs bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race vacated by Rep. Andy Barr's Senate bid. Lower probabilities for Adam Perez Arquette, Greg Plucinski, and Gavin Solomon reflect their limited visibility and resources amid competitive field dynamics, with voter registration closing April 20 potentially shaping turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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