State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary reflects Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal from the race on April 15, 2026, due to his activation from the Marine Reserves for deployment to the Middle East, leaving Pratt as the sole major contender ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner's campaign strategist declined to endorse Pratt, citing his past criticism of former President Trump and legislative record, but traders view this as insufficient to alter the outcome absent new entrants. Recent precinct caucuses and straw polls had shown a tight contest, but the dropout has consolidated support around Pratt in this open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Late entrants or party dynamics could still shift odds before early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$14,258 वॉल्यूम
$14,258 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
Eric Pratt
84%
Tyler Kistner
9%
$14,258 वॉल्यूम
$14,258 वॉल्यूम
11 अग, 2026
Eric Pratt
$2,617 वॉल्यूम
84%
Tyler Kistner
$11,641 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary reflects Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal from the race on April 15, 2026, due to his activation from the Marine Reserves for deployment to the Middle East, leaving Pratt as the sole major contender ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner's campaign strategist declined to endorse Pratt, citing his past criticism of former President Trump and legislative record, but traders view this as insufficient to alter the outcome absent new entrants. Recent precinct caucuses and straw polls had shown a tight contest, but the dropout has consolidated support around Pratt in this open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Late entrants or party dynamics could still shift odds before early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,258समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary reflects Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal from the race on April 15, 2026, due to his activation from the Marine Reserves for deployment to the Middle East, leaving Pratt as the sole major contender ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner's campaign strategist declined to endorse Pratt, citing his past criticism of former President Trump and legislative record, but traders view this as insufficient to alter the outcome absent new entrants. Recent precinct caucuses and straw polls had shown a tight contest, but the dropout has consolidated support around Pratt in this open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Late entrants or party dynamics could still shift odds before early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$14,258समाप्ति तिथि
11 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Eric Pratt's commanding 84.5% implied probability in the MN-02 Republican primary reflects Tyler Kistner's abrupt withdrawal from the race on April 15, 2026, due to his activation from the Marine Reserves for deployment to the Middle East, leaving Pratt as the sole major contender ahead of the August 11 primary. Kistner's campaign strategist declined to endorse Pratt, citing his past criticism of former President Trump and legislative record, but traders view this as insufficient to alter the outcome absent new entrants. Recent precinct caucuses and straw polls had shown a tight contest, but the dropout has consolidated support around Pratt in this open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. Late entrants or party dynamics could still shift odds before early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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