Derek Merrin's 78.5% implied probability in the OH-09 Republican primary reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status, driven by strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur and leading fundraising with over $600,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Madison Sheahan trails at 15.5% buoyed by her high-profile tenure as ICE deputy director and northwest Ohio roots, despite entering late in January 2026 and facing residency questions from local Republicans. State Rep. Josh Williams holds third at 7.2% via solid Q4 fundraising and Majority Whip role, while Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem and newcomer Anthony Campbell lag amid a crowded field after two withdrawals. Early voting is underway ahead of the May 5 primary in this new R+3 battleground district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाDerek Merrin 79%
Madison Sheahan 16%
Josh Williams 6.0%
Alea Nadeem 2.6%
Derek Merrin
74%
Madison Sheahan
16%
Josh Williams
14%
Alea Nadeem
3%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Jacob Frost
1%
Derek Merrin 79%
Madison Sheahan 16%
Josh Williams 6.0%
Alea Nadeem 2.6%
Derek Merrin
74%
Madison Sheahan
16%
Josh Williams
14%
Alea Nadeem
3%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Jacob Frost
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Merrin's 78.5% implied probability in the OH-09 Republican primary reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status, driven by strong name recognition from his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur and leading fundraising with over $600,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025. Madison Sheahan trails at 15.5% buoyed by her high-profile tenure as ICE deputy director and northwest Ohio roots, despite entering late in January 2026 and facing residency questions from local Republicans. State Rep. Josh Williams holds third at 7.2% via solid Q4 fundraising and Majority Whip role, while Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem and newcomer Anthony Campbell lag amid a crowded field after two withdrawals. Early voting is underway ahead of the May 5 primary in this new R+3 battleground district.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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