Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential election with trader consensus implying a 5%+ margin over the runner-up at 74.9%, driven by the latest ONPE tallies at over 91% of actas processed as of April 16, showing her at 17% against Roberto Sánchez's 12% in second place—a gap widened from initial exit polls and early counts near 3% amid urban strongholds. Pre-election polling consistently placed Fujimori ahead in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory. Logistical delays extended voting into April 13 and slowed counting into a fourth day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims, but official updates reinforce her edge heading toward a June 7 runoff. Remaining rural and overseas ballots represent low risk of reversal per historical patterns.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर
पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: जीत का अंतर
केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+ 75.4%
केइको फुजिमोरी <5% 21.0%
अन्य 3.2%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+ <1%
$288,336 वॉल्यूम
$288,336 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 10-15%
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 5-10%
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीआगा <5%
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ 5%+
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ <5%
<1%
केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+
75%
केइको फुजिमोरी <5%
21%
जोर्ज निएतो
<1%
रोबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
<1%
वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%
कार्लोस अल्वारेज़
<1%
अन्य
3%
केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+ 75.4%
केइको फुजिमोरी <5% 21.0%
अन्य 3.2%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+ <1%
$288,336 वॉल्यूम
$288,336 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 15%+
$8,336 वॉल्यूम
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 10-15%
$10,022 वॉल्यूम
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 5-10%
$6,707 वॉल्यूम
<1%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलीआगा <5%
$11,227 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ 5%+
$6,911 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ <5%
$6,047 वॉल्यूम
<1%
केइको फुजीमोरी 5%+
$79,654 वॉल्यूम
75%
केइको फुजिमोरी <5%
$106,518 वॉल्यूम
21%
जोर्ज निएतो
$6,335 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
$10,618 वॉल्यूम
<1%
वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
$4,420 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कार्लोस अल्वारेज़
$5,810 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अन्य
$25,730 वॉल्यूम
3%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential election with trader consensus implying a 5%+ margin over the runner-up at 74.9%, driven by the latest ONPE tallies at over 91% of actas processed as of April 16, showing her at 17% against Roberto Sánchez's 12% in second place—a gap widened from initial exit polls and early counts near 3% amid urban strongholds. Pre-election polling consistently placed Fujimori ahead in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory. Logistical delays extended voting into April 13 and slowed counting into a fourth day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims, but official updates reinforce her edge heading toward a June 7 runoff. Remaining rural and overseas ballots represent low risk of reversal per historical patterns.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$288,336समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential election with trader consensus implying a 5%+ margin over the runner-up at 74.9%, driven by the latest ONPE tallies at over 91% of actas processed as of April 16, showing her at 17% against Roberto Sánchez's 12% in second place—a gap widened from initial exit polls and early counts near 3% amid urban strongholds. Pre-election polling consistently placed Fujimori ahead in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory. Logistical delays extended voting into April 13 and slowed counting into a fourth day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims, but official updates reinforce her edge heading toward a June 7 runoff. Remaining rural and overseas ballots represent low risk of reversal per historical patterns.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$288,336समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential election with trader consensus implying a 5%+ margin over the runner-up at 74.9%, driven by the latest ONPE tallies at over 91% of actas processed as of April 16, showing her at 17% against Roberto Sánchez's 12% in second place—a gap widened from initial exit polls and early counts near 3% amid urban strongholds. Pre-election polling consistently placed Fujimori ahead in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, with no one nearing the 50% threshold for outright victory. Logistical delays extended voting into April 13 and slowed counting into a fourth day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims, but official updates reinforce her edge heading toward a June 7 runoff. Remaining rural and overseas ballots represent low risk of reversal per historical patterns.
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