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पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान

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पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान

70-75% 85.3%

75-80% 8%

80-85% 7.1%

70% से कम 1.0%

Polymarket

$122,262 वॉल्यूम

70-75% 85.3%

75-80% 8%

80-85% 7.1%

70% से कम 1.0%

Polymarket

$122,262 वॉल्यूम

70% से कम

$18,277 वॉल्यूम

1%

70-75%

$34,850 वॉल्यूम

85%

75-80%

$18,986 वॉल्यूम

8%

80-85%

$42,520 वॉल्यूम

7%

> 85%

$7,629 वॉल्यूम

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 85.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first round, aligning with the 74% recorded in the 2021 contest amid compulsory voting tempered by widespread voter disillusionment from years of political turmoil, corruption scandals, and economic woes. Logistical disruptions on April 12-13, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day for tens of thousands, provided a modest participation boost, yet preliminary counts and quick counts from Ipsos suggest figures clustering around 74-78%, keeping higher bins like 75-80% and 80-85% viable but secondary. The record 35-candidate field and lack of a dominant frontrunner further dampened enthusiasm, while official ONPE tallies nearing completion will soon resolve the market.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).

This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
वॉल्यूम
$122,262
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 85.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first round, aligning with the 74% recorded in the 2021 contest amid compulsory voting tempered by widespread voter disillusionment from years of political turmoil, corruption scandals, and economic woes. Logistical disruptions on April 12-13, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day for tens of thousands, provided a modest participation boost, yet preliminary counts and quick counts from Ipsos suggest figures clustering around 74-78%, keeping higher bins like 75-80% and 80-85% viable but secondary. The record 35-candidate field and lack of a dominant frontrunner further dampened enthusiasm, while official ONPE tallies nearing completion will soon resolve the market.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).

This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
वॉल्यूम
$122,262
समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 70-75% 85% (85¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 75-80% 8% पर है।

आज तक, "पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान" ने कुल $122.3K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 20, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "70-75%" 85% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "75-80%" 8% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"पेरू राष्ट्रपति चुनाव का पहला दौर: मतदान" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।