Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 85.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first round, aligning with the 74% recorded in the 2021 contest amid compulsory voting tempered by widespread voter disillusionment from years of political turmoil, corruption scandals, and economic woes. Logistical disruptions on April 12-13, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day for tens of thousands, provided a modest participation boost, yet preliminary counts and quick counts from Ipsos suggest figures clustering around 74-78%, keeping higher bins like 75-80% and 80-85% viable but secondary. The record 35-candidate field and lack of a dominant frontrunner further dampened enthusiasm, while official ONPE tallies nearing completion will soon resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया70-75% 85.3%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 7.1%
70% से कम 1.0%
$122,262 वॉल्यूम
$122,262 वॉल्यूम
70% से कम
1%
70-75%
85%
75-80%
8%
80-85%
7%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 85.3%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 7.1%
70% से कम 1.0%
$122,262 वॉल्यूम
$122,262 वॉल्यूम
70% से कम
1%
70-75%
85%
75-80%
8%
80-85%
7%
> 85%
<1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 70-75% turnout at 85.5% implied probability for Peru's presidential election first round, aligning with the 74% recorded in the 2021 contest amid compulsory voting tempered by widespread voter disillusionment from years of political turmoil, corruption scandals, and economic woes. Logistical disruptions on April 12-13, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day for tens of thousands, provided a modest participation boost, yet preliminary counts and quick counts from Ipsos suggest figures clustering around 74-78%, keeping higher bins like 75-80% and 80-85% viable but secondary. The record 35-candidate field and lack of a dominant frontrunner further dampened enthusiasm, while official ONPE tallies nearing completion will soon resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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