Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw trader consensus cluster around 70-75% turnout at over 85% implied probability, driven by widespread logistical disruptions including delayed polling station openings, ballot shortages, and technical glitches with new election software, particularly in populous Lima where 30% of voters reside. These issues prompted voting extensions into a second day and sparked fraud allegations without evidence, exacerbating voter frustration amid a decade of political instability with multiple short-term presidents. Compulsory voting typically yields 70-85% participation historically—as in 2021's 73% first round—but apathy and urban access barriers appear to have capped engagement, with official ONPE tallies pending full certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया70-75% 85.3%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 5.8%
70% से कम 2.5%
$122,705 वॉल्यूम
$122,705 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
70% से कम
3%
70-75%
85%
75-80%
8%
80-85%
6%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 85.3%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 5.8%
70% से कम 2.5%
$122,705 वॉल्यूम
$122,705 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
70% से कम
$18,513 वॉल्यूम
3%
70-75%
$34,941 वॉल्यूम
85%
75-80%
$18,997 वॉल्यूम
8%
80-85%
$42,624 वॉल्यूम
6%
> 85%
$7,629 वॉल्यूम
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw trader consensus cluster around 70-75% turnout at over 85% implied probability, driven by widespread logistical disruptions including delayed polling station openings, ballot shortages, and technical glitches with new election software, particularly in populous Lima where 30% of voters reside. These issues prompted voting extensions into a second day and sparked fraud allegations without evidence, exacerbating voter frustration amid a decade of political instability with multiple short-term presidents. Compulsory voting typically yields 70-85% participation historically—as in 2021's 73% first round—but apathy and urban access barriers appear to have capped engagement, with official ONPE tallies pending full certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$122,705समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw trader consensus cluster around 70-75% turnout at over 85% implied probability, driven by widespread logistical disruptions including delayed polling station openings, ballot shortages, and technical glitches with new election software, particularly in populous Lima where 30% of voters reside. These issues prompted voting extensions into a second day and sparked fraud allegations without evidence, exacerbating voter frustration amid a decade of political instability with multiple short-term presidents. Compulsory voting typically yields 70-85% participation historically—as in 2021's 73% first round—but apathy and urban access barriers appear to have capped engagement, with official ONPE tallies pending full certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
वॉल्यूम
$122,705समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peru's first-round presidential election on April 12-13 saw trader consensus cluster around 70-75% turnout at over 85% implied probability, driven by widespread logistical disruptions including delayed polling station openings, ballot shortages, and technical glitches with new election software, particularly in populous Lima where 30% of voters reside. These issues prompted voting extensions into a second day and sparked fraud allegations without evidence, exacerbating voter frustration amid a decade of political instability with multiple short-term presidents. Compulsory voting typically yields 70-85% participation historically—as in 2021's 73% first round—but apathy and urban access barriers appear to have capped engagement, with official ONPE tallies pending full certification ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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