Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, driven by first-past-the-post dynamics where PQ's francophone support outside Montreal translates to efficient seat gains, as shown in Qc125 and 338Canada projections awarding PQ 63 seats on average despite trailing PLQ 36%–29% in popular vote averages. Recent Pallas Data polling (April 13–14) widened PLQ's vote lead to 32%–29% under leader Charles Milliard, while PQ slipped to its lowest since 2024; however, models still project PQ minority government (51% majority odds). CAQ languishes at 9% odds post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, with no poll rebound. Election due by October 5.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
क्यूबेक आम चुनाव विजेता
पीक्यू 55%
पीएलक्यू 37%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$424,638 वॉल्यूम
$424,638 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
55%
पीएलक्यू
37%
सीएक्यू
9%
PCQ
1%
पीवीक्यू
<1%
क्यूएस
<1%
पीक्यू 55%
पीएलक्यू 37%
सीएक्यू 9%
PCQ <1%
$424,638 वॉल्यूम
$424,638 वॉल्यूम
5 अक्टू, 2026
पीक्यू
$41,716 वॉल्यूम
55%
पीएलक्यू
$47,611 वॉल्यूम
37%
सीएक्यू
$42,701 वॉल्यूम
9%
PCQ
$139,114 वॉल्यूम
1%
पीवीक्यू
$105,358 वॉल्यूम
<1%
क्यूएस
$48,137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, driven by first-past-the-post dynamics where PQ's francophone support outside Montreal translates to efficient seat gains, as shown in Qc125 and 338Canada projections awarding PQ 63 seats on average despite trailing PLQ 36%–29% in popular vote averages. Recent Pallas Data polling (April 13–14) widened PLQ's vote lead to 32%–29% under leader Charles Milliard, while PQ slipped to its lowest since 2024; however, models still project PQ minority government (51% majority odds). CAQ languishes at 9% odds post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, with no poll rebound. Election due by October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$424,638समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, driven by first-past-the-post dynamics where PQ's francophone support outside Montreal translates to efficient seat gains, as shown in Qc125 and 338Canada projections awarding PQ 63 seats on average despite trailing PLQ 36%–29% in popular vote averages. Recent Pallas Data polling (April 13–14) widened PLQ's vote lead to 32%–29% under leader Charles Milliard, while PQ slipped to its lowest since 2024; however, models still project PQ minority government (51% majority odds). CAQ languishes at 9% odds post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, with no poll rebound. Election due by October 5.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
वॉल्यूम
$424,638समाप्ति तिथि
5 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 55% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's 2026 general election, driven by first-past-the-post dynamics where PQ's francophone support outside Montreal translates to efficient seat gains, as shown in Qc125 and 338Canada projections awarding PQ 63 seats on average despite trailing PLQ 36%–29% in popular vote averages. Recent Pallas Data polling (April 13–14) widened PLQ's vote lead to 32%–29% under leader Charles Milliard, while PQ slipped to its lowest since 2024; however, models still project PQ minority government (51% majority odds). CAQ languishes at 9% odds post-François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's April 12 leadership win, with no poll rebound. Election due by October 5.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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