Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to the Democratic nominee winning Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's long-standing Democratic trifecta control, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 34-4, House 64-10), and no Republican victory since Donald Carcieri's 2006 re-election. Recent University of New Hampshire and Concord Public Opinion Partners polls from February-March show Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee by 9-16 points in the September 8 Democratic primary, fueled by McKee's sagging approval ratings. The Republican primary pits a fragmented field—Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo—against each other, compounded by independent Ken Block's April 2 campaign launch. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, Republican primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a national GOP midterm surge ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$46,385 वॉल्यूम
$46,385 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
94%
रिपब्लिकन
5%
$46,385 वॉल्यूम
$46,385 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$42,109 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन
$4,276 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to the Democratic nominee winning Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's long-standing Democratic trifecta control, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 34-4, House 64-10), and no Republican victory since Donald Carcieri's 2006 re-election. Recent University of New Hampshire and Concord Public Opinion Partners polls from February-March show Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee by 9-16 points in the September 8 Democratic primary, fueled by McKee's sagging approval ratings. The Republican primary pits a fragmented field—Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo—against each other, compounded by independent Ken Block's April 2 campaign launch. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, Republican primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a national GOP midterm surge ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,385समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to the Democratic nominee winning Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's long-standing Democratic trifecta control, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 34-4, House 64-10), and no Republican victory since Donald Carcieri's 2006 re-election. Recent University of New Hampshire and Concord Public Opinion Partners polls from February-March show Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee by 9-16 points in the September 8 Democratic primary, fueled by McKee's sagging approval ratings. The Republican primary pits a fragmented field—Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo—against each other, compounded by independent Ken Block's April 2 campaign launch. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, Republican primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a national GOP midterm surge ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$46,385समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 94% implied probability to the Democratic nominee winning Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial race, reflecting the state's long-standing Democratic trifecta control, supermajorities in the legislature (Senate 34-4, House 64-10), and no Republican victory since Donald Carcieri's 2006 re-election. Recent University of New Hampshire and Concord Public Opinion Partners polls from February-March show Helena Foulkes leading incumbent Dan McKee by 9-16 points in the September 8 Democratic primary, fueled by McKee's sagging approval ratings. The Republican primary pits a fragmented field—Aaron Guckian, Elaine Pelino, Robert Raimondo—against each other, compounded by independent Ken Block's April 2 campaign launch. Scenarios to upend this include a scandal engulfing the Democratic nominee, Republican primary consolidation behind a strong challenger, or a national GOP midterm surge ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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