Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 84% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round plurality of around 30% and consolidation of urban support from Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place voters. A recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll for Unitel (April 3-9) showed Velasco leading Otto Ritter 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided and Velasco stronger in the capital and intermediate cities while Ritter holds rural areas. The April 12 debate highlighted differences on fiscal autonomy—Velasco's 50/50 revenue-sharing pact versus Ritter's hydrocarbon focus—but reinforced Velasco's frontrunner momentum amid closing campaigns and pre-election restrictions. Late shifts remain possible from undecideds or turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजुआन पाब्लो वेलास्को 84.9%
ओटो रिटर 14.7%
जुआन कार्लोस मेद्रानो <1%
मॉरिसियो क्यूज़ादा <1%
$805,775 वॉल्यूम
$805,775 वॉल्यूम
जुआन पाब्लो वेलास्को
85%
ओटो रिटर
15%
जुआन कार्लोस मेद्रानो
<1%
मॉरिसियो क्यूज़ादा
<1%
ची ह्यून चुंग
<1%
जूलियो सेज़र टोरेज़
<1%
गुइदो एडुआर्डो नायर
<1%
मिगुएल कादीमा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पेना
<1%
लुइस फर्नांडो कामाचो
<1%
जुआन पाब्लो वेलास्को 84.9%
ओटो रिटर 14.7%
जुआन कार्लोस मेद्रानो <1%
मॉरिसियो क्यूज़ादा <1%
$805,775 वॉल्यूम
$805,775 वॉल्यूम
जुआन पाब्लो वेलास्को
85%
ओटो रिटर
15%
जुआन कार्लोस मेद्रानो
<1%
मॉरिसियो क्यूज़ादा
<1%
ची ह्यून चुंग
<1%
जूलियो सेज़र टोरेज़
<1%
गुइदो एडुआर्डो नायर
<1%
मिगुएल कादीमा
<1%
व्लादिमीर पेना
<1%
लुइस फर्नांडो कामाचो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 84% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff on April 19, reflecting his first-round plurality of around 30% and consolidation of urban support from Luis Fernando Camacho's third-place voters. A recent Ipsos CIESMORI poll for Unitel (April 3-9) showed Velasco leading Otto Ritter 44%-35% among decided voters, with 15% undecided and Velasco stronger in the capital and intermediate cities while Ritter holds rural areas. The April 12 debate highlighted differences on fiscal autonomy—Velasco's 50/50 revenue-sharing pact versus Ritter's hydrocarbon focus—but reinforced Velasco's frontrunner momentum amid closing campaigns and pre-election restrictions. Late shifts remain possible from undecideds or turnout.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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