Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 54%
कुलमिये 14.8%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 1.5%
वदानी 1.2%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
73%
कुलमिये
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
14%
वदानी
1%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 54%
कुलमिये 14.8%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 1.5%
वदानी 1.2%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$8,480 वॉल्यूम
73%
कुलमिये
$2,187 वॉल्यूम
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$3,751 वॉल्यूम
14%
वदानी
$1,865 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027 at 73%, driven by the National Electoral Commission's February 2026 announcement postponing House of Representatives and local council polls from late May 2026 by ten months to March 2027, citing drought, security threats, and voter registration hurdles. President Muse Bihi Abdi's Kulmiye party, fresh from its 2024 presidential victory, leads conditional odds at 14.8% as the incumbent with institutional advantages, narrowly ahead of opposition Justice and Welfare (UCID) at 13.7%, while Waddani trails at 1.2% amid fragmented opposition dynamics. Recent presidential statements on April 14 underscore delays as a democratic risk but defer to NEC timelines, reinforcing trader skepticism on pre-2027 polls absent major reversals.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न