Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like Lokpoll (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats amid solid seat-sharing with INC, VCK, and Left parties finalized post-nominations on April 6. AIADMK's 17.2% reflects fragmentation in its BJP-PMK alliance despite mixed surveys such as News18-Vote Vibe (April 6) showing a narrow edge, while TVK's solo debut under Vijay garners 5.9% as vote-splitter, hampered by recent poll code violations against the leader. With over 4,600 candidates, opposition disunity favors DMK's path to majority in the 234-seat house.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातमिलनाडु विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
तमिलनाडु विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
डीएमके 72%
एडीएमके 19.1%
टीवीके 5.5%
एआईटीसी <1%
$359,108 वॉल्यूम
$359,108 वॉल्यूम
23 अप्रैल, 2026
डीएमके
72%
एडीएमके
19%
टीवीके
5%
एआईटीसी
<1%
![क्या भारतीय कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (मार्क्सवादी) [सीपीआई(एम)] 2026 तमिलनाडु विधान सभा चुनाव में सबसे अधिक सीटें जीतेगी? icon](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fwill-the-communist-party-of-india-cpi-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-west-bengal-legislative-assembly-election-dQD_ZSLt_qX-.png&w=1024&q=75)
सीपीआई(एम)
<1%
डीएमडीके
<1%
बीएसपी
<1%
CPI
<1%
आईएनसी
<1%
एनपीईपी
<1%
भाजपा
<1%
एनसीपी
<1%
डीएमके 72%
एडीएमके 19.1%
टीवीके 5.5%
एआईटीसी <1%
$359,108 वॉल्यूम
$359,108 वॉल्यूम
23 अप्रैल, 2026
डीएमके
$52,663 वॉल्यूम
72%
एडीएमके
$47,517 वॉल्यूम
19%
टीवीके
$78,214 वॉल्यूम
5%
एआईटीसी
$19,827 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
$38,302 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डीएमडीके
$12,329 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीएसपी
$12,144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
CPI
$13,064 वॉल्यूम
<1%
आईएनसी
$34,415 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनपीईपी
$12,372 वॉल्यूम
<1%
भाजपा
$21,158 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एनसीपी
$17,147 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like Lokpoll (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats amid solid seat-sharing with INC, VCK, and Left parties finalized post-nominations on April 6. AIADMK's 17.2% reflects fragmentation in its BJP-PMK alliance despite mixed surveys such as News18-Vote Vibe (April 6) showing a narrow edge, while TVK's solo debut under Vijay garners 5.9% as vote-splitter, hampered by recent poll code violations against the leader. With over 4,600 candidates, opposition disunity favors DMK's path to majority in the 234-seat house.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$359,108समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like Lokpoll (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats amid solid seat-sharing with INC, VCK, and Left parties finalized post-nominations on April 6. AIADMK's 17.2% reflects fragmentation in its BJP-PMK alliance despite mixed surveys such as News18-Vote Vibe (April 6) showing a narrow edge, while TVK's solo debut under Vijay garners 5.9% as vote-splitter, hampered by recent poll code violations against the leader. With over 4,600 candidates, opposition disunity favors DMK's path to majority in the 234-seat house.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
वॉल्यूम
$359,108समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance holds trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the most seats in the April 23 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election, bolstered by recent opinion polls like Lokpoll (April 1) projecting 181-189 seats amid solid seat-sharing with INC, VCK, and Left parties finalized post-nominations on April 6. AIADMK's 17.2% reflects fragmentation in its BJP-PMK alliance despite mixed surveys such as News18-Vote Vibe (April 6) showing a narrow edge, while TVK's solo debut under Vijay garners 5.9% as vote-splitter, hampered by recent poll code violations against the leader. With over 4,600 candidates, opposition disunity favors DMK's path to majority in the 234-seat house.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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