Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability to win the Texas Senate seat on November 3, driven by the state's consistent Republican lean in Senate races—incumbent John Cornyn won by 10 points in 2020—and the upcoming May 26 GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, where recent polls like co/efficient (April 11-14) show Cornyn edging ahead 44%-43% among likely voters. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright on March 3 after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett. Early general election polling from January-February averaged slight Republican edges (Cornyn +2, Paxton +1), though March surveys indicated ties or narrow Talarico leads amid high urban turnout potential; the closely contested runoff outcome and midterm turnout in swing suburbs could tip the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$175,544 वॉल्यूम
$175,544 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$175,544 वॉल्यूम
$175,544 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican
$93,447 वॉल्यूम
56%
Democrat
$82,097 वॉल्यूम
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability to win the Texas Senate seat on November 3, driven by the state's consistent Republican lean in Senate races—incumbent John Cornyn won by 10 points in 2020—and the upcoming May 26 GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, where recent polls like co/efficient (April 11-14) show Cornyn edging ahead 44%-43% among likely voters. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright on March 3 after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett. Early general election polling from January-February averaged slight Republican edges (Cornyn +2, Paxton +1), though March surveys indicated ties or narrow Talarico leads amid high urban turnout potential; the closely contested runoff outcome and midterm turnout in swing suburbs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$175,544समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability to win the Texas Senate seat on November 3, driven by the state's consistent Republican lean in Senate races—incumbent John Cornyn won by 10 points in 2020—and the upcoming May 26 GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, where recent polls like co/efficient (April 11-14) show Cornyn edging ahead 44%-43% among likely voters. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright on March 3 after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett. Early general election polling from January-February averaged slight Republican edges (Cornyn +2, Paxton +1), though March surveys indicated ties or narrow Talarico leads amid high urban turnout potential; the closely contested runoff outcome and midterm turnout in swing suburbs could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$175,544समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability to win the Texas Senate seat on November 3, driven by the state's consistent Republican lean in Senate races—incumbent John Cornyn won by 10 points in 2020—and the upcoming May 26 GOP primary runoff against Attorney General Ken Paxton, where recent polls like co/efficient (April 11-14) show Cornyn edging ahead 44%-43% among likely voters. State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright on March 3 after defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett. Early general election polling from January-February averaged slight Republican edges (Cornyn +2, Paxton +1), though March surveys indicated ties or narrow Talarico leads amid high urban turnout potential; the closely contested runoff outcome and midterm turnout in swing suburbs could tip the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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