President Trump ordered a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, immediately after U.S.-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with U.S. Central Command confirming full implementation by April 15 despite some Iran-linked vessels transiting. This escalation, enforced by over 10,000 troops, warships, and aircraft, aims to squeeze Iran's economy amid heightened tensions, drawing criticism from China as "dangerous" and Iranian warnings of forceful response. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for lifting, given ongoing enforcement and no resumption of diplomacy, though Trump hinted at potential talks this week; key watchpoints include Iranian military actions, oil price surges, and allied reactions that could prompt de-escalation or further sanctions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाट्रम्प ने अमेरिका द्वारा होर्मुज की नाकाबंदी हटाए जाने की घोषणा की...?
ट्रम्प ने अमेरिका द्वारा होर्मुज की नाकाबंदी हटाए जाने की घोषणा की...?
$1,409,804 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
15 अप्रैल
1%
17 अप्रैल
15%
19 अप्रैल
27%
30 अप्रैल
61%
31 मई
80%
$1,409,804 वॉल्यूम
15 अप्रैल
$718,698 वॉल्यूम
1%
17 अप्रैल
$210,429 वॉल्यूम
15%
19 अप्रैल
$170,456 वॉल्यूम
27%
30 अप्रैल
$98,939 वॉल्यूम
61%
31 मई
$12,474 वॉल्यूम
80%
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.President Trump ordered a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, immediately after U.S.-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with U.S. Central Command confirming full implementation by April 15 despite some Iran-linked vessels transiting. This escalation, enforced by over 10,000 troops, warships, and aircraft, aims to squeeze Iran's economy amid heightened tensions, drawing criticism from China as "dangerous" and Iranian warnings of forceful response. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for lifting, given ongoing enforcement and no resumption of diplomacy, though Trump hinted at potential talks this week; key watchpoints include Iranian military actions, oil price surges, and allied reactions that could prompt de-escalation or further sanctions.
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,409,804समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.President Trump ordered a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, immediately after U.S.-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with U.S. Central Command confirming full implementation by April 15 despite some Iran-linked vessels transiting. This escalation, enforced by over 10,000 troops, warships, and aircraft, aims to squeeze Iran's economy amid heightened tensions, drawing criticism from China as "dangerous" and Iranian warnings of forceful response. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for lifting, given ongoing enforcement and no resumption of diplomacy, though Trump hinted at potential talks this week; key watchpoints include Iranian military actions, oil price surges, and allied reactions that could prompt de-escalation or further sanctions.
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,409,804समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump ordered a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports along the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, immediately after U.S.-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with U.S. Central Command confirming full implementation by April 15 despite some Iran-linked vessels transiting. This escalation, enforced by over 10,000 troops, warships, and aircraft, aims to squeeze Iran's economy amid heightened tensions, drawing criticism from China as "dangerous" and Iranian warnings of forceful response. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds for lifting, given ongoing enforcement and no resumption of diplomacy, though Trump hinted at potential talks this week; key watchpoints include Iranian military actions, oil price surges, and allied reactions that could prompt de-escalation or further sanctions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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