Trader consensus prices minimal average daily ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz by late April, with 0-10 vessels leading at 40% amid the ongoing 2026 Hormuz crisis. Iran has enforced severe restrictions since February 28, demanding Revolutionary Guard Navy coordination for passage and attacking over 20 non-compliant ships, while U.S. naval operations—including recent warship transits and blockade enforcement—have deterred commercial traffic. Latest ship-tracking data as of April 15 shows tanker volumes 90% below pre-crisis norms of 100+ vessels daily, with 3-day averages near three and hundreds stranded due to attack risks, soaring insurance, and fragile ceasefire signals. Diplomatic talks and potential de-escalation could boost flows, but persistent threats sustain low-probability pricing for normalization above 20 ships.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल के अंत में होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
अप्रैल के अंत में होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य से गुजरने वाले जहाजों का औसत #?
0-10 41%
10-20 22.7%
60+ 14%
50-60 9.2%
$103,773 वॉल्यूम
$103,773 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
0-10
41%
10-20
23%
20-30
9%
30-40
9%
40-50
6%
50-60
9%
60+
14%
0-10 41%
10-20 22.7%
60+ 14%
50-60 9.2%
$103,773 वॉल्यूम
$103,773 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
0-10
$25,539 वॉल्यूम
41%
10-20
$11,106 वॉल्यूम
23%
20-30
$10,247 वॉल्यूम
9%
30-40
$8,902 वॉल्यूम
9%
40-50
$8,141 वॉल्यूम
6%
50-60
$10,687 वॉल्यूम
9%
60+
$29,152 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices minimal average daily ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz by late April, with 0-10 vessels leading at 40% amid the ongoing 2026 Hormuz crisis. Iran has enforced severe restrictions since February 28, demanding Revolutionary Guard Navy coordination for passage and attacking over 20 non-compliant ships, while U.S. naval operations—including recent warship transits and blockade enforcement—have deterred commercial traffic. Latest ship-tracking data as of April 15 shows tanker volumes 90% below pre-crisis norms of 100+ vessels daily, with 3-day averages near three and hundreds stranded due to attack risks, soaring insurance, and fragile ceasefire signals. Diplomatic talks and potential de-escalation could boost flows, but persistent threats sustain low-probability pricing for normalization above 20 ships.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$103,773समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices minimal average daily ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz by late April, with 0-10 vessels leading at 40% amid the ongoing 2026 Hormuz crisis. Iran has enforced severe restrictions since February 28, demanding Revolutionary Guard Navy coordination for passage and attacking over 20 non-compliant ships, while U.S. naval operations—including recent warship transits and blockade enforcement—have deterred commercial traffic. Latest ship-tracking data as of April 15 shows tanker volumes 90% below pre-crisis norms of 100+ vessels daily, with 3-day averages near three and hundreds stranded due to attack risks, soaring insurance, and fragile ceasefire signals. Diplomatic talks and potential de-escalation could boost flows, but persistent threats sustain low-probability pricing for normalization above 20 ships.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for April 30, 2026.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by May 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to April 30, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for April 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
वॉल्यूम
$103,773समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 1:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices minimal average daily ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz by late April, with 0-10 vessels leading at 40% amid the ongoing 2026 Hormuz crisis. Iran has enforced severe restrictions since February 28, demanding Revolutionary Guard Navy coordination for passage and attacking over 20 non-compliant ships, while U.S. naval operations—including recent warship transits and blockade enforcement—have deterred commercial traffic. Latest ship-tracking data as of April 15 shows tanker volumes 90% below pre-crisis norms of 100+ vessels daily, with 3-day averages near three and hundreds stranded due to attack risks, soaring insurance, and fragile ceasefire signals. Diplomatic talks and potential de-escalation could boost flows, but persistent threats sustain low-probability pricing for normalization above 20 ships.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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