President Trump ordered a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, after US-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with CENTCOM implementing it April 13 to halt ships entering Iranian ports or paying Tehran tolls. Now in its fourth day, the measure has fully disrupted Iran's seaborne trade—accounting for over 90% of its exports—prompting oil prices above $100 per barrel, Iranian threats of Gulf and Red Sea retaliation, and demands for its lift as a truce precondition. Mediators eye ceasefire extensions amid diplomatic signals from Trump offering off-ramps, while China's reported withdrawal of military aid to Iran adds de-escalation potential; traders monitor these for announcement timing against global energy risks and escalation scenarios.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाट्रम्प ने अमेरिका द्वारा होर्मुज की नाकाबंदी हटाए जाने की घोषणा की...?
ट्रम्प ने अमेरिका द्वारा होर्मुज की नाकाबंदी हटाए जाने की घोषणा की...?
$1,577,367 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
17 अप्रैल
5%
19 अप्रैल
16%
30 अप्रैल
56%
31 मई
83%
$1,577,367 वॉल्यूम
17 अप्रैल
$255,989 वॉल्यूम
5%
19 अप्रैल
$188,104 वॉल्यूम
16%
30 अप्रैल
$103,316 वॉल्यूम
56%
31 मई
$14,811 वॉल्यूम
83%
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.President Trump ordered a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, after US-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with CENTCOM implementing it April 13 to halt ships entering Iranian ports or paying Tehran tolls. Now in its fourth day, the measure has fully disrupted Iran's seaborne trade—accounting for over 90% of its exports—prompting oil prices above $100 per barrel, Iranian threats of Gulf and Red Sea retaliation, and demands for its lift as a truce precondition. Mediators eye ceasefire extensions amid diplomatic signals from Trump offering off-ramps, while China's reported withdrawal of military aid to Iran adds de-escalation potential; traders monitor these for announcement timing against global energy risks and escalation scenarios.
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,577,367समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.President Trump ordered a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, after US-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with CENTCOM implementing it April 13 to halt ships entering Iranian ports or paying Tehran tolls. Now in its fourth day, the measure has fully disrupted Iran's seaborne trade—accounting for over 90% of its exports—prompting oil prices above $100 per barrel, Iranian threats of Gulf and Red Sea retaliation, and demands for its lift as a truce precondition. Mediators eye ceasefire extensions amid diplomatic signals from Trump offering off-ramps, while China's reported withdrawal of military aid to Iran adds de-escalation potential; traders monitor these for announcement timing against global energy risks and escalation scenarios.
On April 12, 2026, President Donald Trump announced that the United States will blockade the Strait of Hormuz. You can read more about that here: https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-blog/live-updates-us-iran-fail-reach-deal-peace-talks-day-negotiations-rcna315918.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially announces the end of the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly and explicitly indicate that the United States has lifted, ended, or will lift or end its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on a specified date or use equivalently definitive language unambiguously signaling that such blockade has ceased or is set to cease on a specified date (e.g., statements unambiguously indicating that US naval activity in the relevant area has ceased will qualify).
Statements that merely describe actions inconsistent with the blockade (e.g., "Iran resumed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz") without explicitly indicating the blockade as lifted will not alone suffice.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account) will qualify. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the blockade is effectively enforced or whether maritime traffic resumes absent a qualifying announcement will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,577,367समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 12, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump ordered a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 12, 2026, after US-Iran peace talks collapsed in Islamabad, with CENTCOM implementing it April 13 to halt ships entering Iranian ports or paying Tehran tolls. Now in its fourth day, the measure has fully disrupted Iran's seaborne trade—accounting for over 90% of its exports—prompting oil prices above $100 per barrel, Iranian threats of Gulf and Red Sea retaliation, and demands for its lift as a truce precondition. Mediators eye ceasefire extensions amid diplomatic signals from Trump offering off-ramps, while China's reported withdrawal of military aid to Iran adds de-escalation potential; traders monitor these for announcement timing against global energy risks and escalation scenarios.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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