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राजनीति·प्राथमिक

TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

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राजनीति·प्राथमिक

TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर

क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 86.8%

अल ग्रीन 9.6%

ग्रेचेन ब्राउन 1.0%

अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%

Polymarket

$21,756 वॉल्यूम

क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 86.8%

अल ग्रीन 9.6%

ग्रेचेन ब्राउन 1.0%

अमांडा एडवर्ड्स <1%

Polymarket

$21,756 वॉल्यूम

क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी

$13,407 वॉल्यूम

87%

अल ग्रीन

$3,576 वॉल्यूम

10%

ग्रेचेन ब्राउन

$2,529 वॉल्यूम

1%

अमांडा एडवर्ड्स

$2,244 वॉल्यूम

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee commands an 87% trader consensus to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, fueled by his six-point lead in the latest polling average (41% Menefee to 35% Green) and strong Q1 fundraising totaling $1 million, including $600,000 raised post-February special election swearing-in. Recent endorsements from Texas AFL-CIO and state Rep. LaSimmons bolster Menefee's momentum as the seat's current holder after defeating Amanda Edwards in January's special runoff, contrasting with Al Green's relocation from redrawn TX-9 despite his seniority. Minimal support for Brown and Edwards stems from their March 3 primary elimination, underscoring a two-way race defined by incumbency advantage and generational dynamics in this safe Democratic Houston district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$21,756
समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee commands an 87% trader consensus to win the TX-18 Democratic primary runoff on May 26, fueled by his six-point lead in the latest polling average (41% Menefee to 35% Green) and strong Q1 fundraising totaling $1 million, including $600,000 raised post-February special election swearing-in. Recent endorsements from Texas AFL-CIO and state Rep. LaSimmons bolster Menefee's momentum as the seat's current holder after defeating Amanda Edwards in January's special runoff, contrasting with Al Green's relocation from redrawn TX-9 despite his seniority. Minimal support for Brown and Edwards stems from their March 3 primary elimination, underscoring a two-way race defined by incumbency advantage and generational dynamics in this safe Democratic Houston district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$21,756
समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" Polymarket पर 4 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी 87% (87¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद अल ग्रीन 10% पर है।

आज तक, "TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" ने कुल $21.8K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 4, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 4 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "क्रिश्चियन मेनेफी" 87% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "अल ग्रीन" 10% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"TX -18 डेमोक्रेटिक प्राइमरी विनर" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।