Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee leads trader consensus at 80.3% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his 46%-44% edge over veteran Rep. Al Green in the March 3 primary despite Green's long incumbency. Pre-primary polling, such as a February Houston Public Media survey showing Menefee ahead 52%-28%, underscored his momentum from a recent special election victory amid redistricting that pitted the two Democrats against each other in this safe blue Houston district. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Menefee raising $1 million—$600,000 post-February—outpacing Green, who loaned himself $200,000, while endorsements like Rep. LaSimba Gray-Simmons' bolster his position. Eliminated primary challengers Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards trail at negligible odds. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key in this low-visibility runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाChristian Menefee 80.3%
Al Green 19.4%
Gretchen Brown 1.3%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$21,353 वॉल्यूम
$21,353 वॉल्यूम
Christian Menefee
80%
Al Green
19%
Gretchen Brown
1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 80.3%
Al Green 19.4%
Gretchen Brown 1.3%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$21,353 वॉल्यूम
$21,353 वॉल्यूम
Christian Menefee
80%
Al Green
19%
Gretchen Brown
1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee leads trader consensus at 80.3% implied probability to win the Texas 18th Congressional District Democratic primary runoff on May 26, reflecting his 46%-44% edge over veteran Rep. Al Green in the March 3 primary despite Green's long incumbency. Pre-primary polling, such as a February Houston Public Media survey showing Menefee ahead 52%-28%, underscored his momentum from a recent special election victory amid redistricting that pitted the two Democrats against each other in this safe blue Houston district. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports reveal Menefee raising $1 million—$600,000 post-February—outpacing Green, who loaned himself $200,000, while endorsements like Rep. LaSimba Gray-Simmons' bolster his position. Eliminated primary challengers Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards trail at negligible odds. Early voting begins soon, with turnout key in this low-visibility runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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