Jon Bonck's 90.6% implied probability as the frontrunner in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his commanding 46.8% in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and recent backing from Young Conservatives of Texas and Texas Values Action. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn a crowded field, but Bonck's superior fundraising exceeding $1 million solidifies trader consensus ahead of the May 26 runoff. Upsets remain possible via deZevallos consolidating endorsements from figures like Sheriff Troy Nehls, a late scandal, or depressed Bonck turnout among primary voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजॉन बॉन्क 90.6%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 2.7%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.0%
बैरेट मैकनेब <1%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
जॉन बॉन्क
91%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
3%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
1%
बैरेट मैकनेब
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
1%
एवरी आयर्स
1%
माइकल प्रैट
1%
लैरी रूबिन
1%
जेफ यूना
1%
जॉन बॉन्क 90.6%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 2.7%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.0%
बैरेट मैकनेब <1%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
26 मई, 2026
जॉन बॉन्क
$16,882 वॉल्यूम
91%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
$3,015 वॉल्यूम
3%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
$2,246 वॉल्यूम
1%
बैरेट मैकनेब
$1,588 वॉल्यूम
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
$1,540 वॉल्यूम
1%
एवरी आयर्स
$2,210 वॉल्यूम
1%
माइकल प्रैट
$2,597 वॉल्यूम
1%
लैरी रूबिन
$2,055 वॉल्यूम
1%
जेफ यूना
$2,411 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's 90.6% implied probability as the frontrunner in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his commanding 46.8% in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and recent backing from Young Conservatives of Texas and Texas Values Action. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn a crowded field, but Bonck's superior fundraising exceeding $1 million solidifies trader consensus ahead of the May 26 runoff. Upsets remain possible via deZevallos consolidating endorsements from figures like Sheriff Troy Nehls, a late scandal, or depressed Bonck turnout among primary voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,014समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's 90.6% implied probability as the frontrunner in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his commanding 46.8% in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and recent backing from Young Conservatives of Texas and Texas Values Action. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn a crowded field, but Bonck's superior fundraising exceeding $1 million solidifies trader consensus ahead of the May 26 runoff. Upsets remain possible via deZevallos consolidating endorsements from figures like Sheriff Troy Nehls, a late scandal, or depressed Bonck turnout among primary voters.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$36,014समाप्ति तिथि
26 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's 90.6% implied probability as the frontrunner in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his commanding 46.8% in the March 3 first-round vote—more than double challenger Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—bolstered by former President Trump's endorsement, Club for Growth PAC support, and recent backing from Young Conservatives of Texas and Texas Values Action. The open seat vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid has drawn a crowded field, but Bonck's superior fundraising exceeding $1 million solidifies trader consensus ahead of the May 26 runoff. Upsets remain possible via deZevallos consolidating endorsements from figures like Sheriff Troy Nehls, a late scandal, or depressed Bonck turnout among primary voters.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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