Jon Bonck's commanding 90.6% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary winner market stems from his dominant 46.8% first-place finish in the March 3 crowded 10-candidate field—nearly 28,800 votes to Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—propelled by a late endorsement from President Trump alongside backing from Sen. Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid in the solidly Republican Houston suburbs, reflects trader consensus on Bonck's momentum, endorsements, and fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand per recent FEC filings. A University of Houston poll shows Bonck leading by 12 points. While unlikely, deZevallos could challenge via consolidation of eliminated rivals' voters like Michael Pratt's 10.7%, aggressive negative campaigning, or a Bonck scandal ahead of the May 26 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJon Bonck 90.7%
Shelly deZevallos 2.8%
Jennifer Sundt 1.3%
Barrett McNabb 1.0%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
Jon Bonck
91%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Avery Ayers
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Jeff Yuna
1%
Jon Bonck 90.7%
Shelly deZevallos 2.8%
Jennifer Sundt 1.3%
Barrett McNabb 1.0%
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
$36,014 वॉल्यूम
Jon Bonck
91%
Shelly deZevallos
3%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Avery Ayers
1%
Michael Pratt
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Jeff Yuna
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's commanding 90.6% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary winner market stems from his dominant 46.8% first-place finish in the March 3 crowded 10-candidate field—nearly 28,800 votes to Shelly deZevallos's 18.8%—propelled by a late endorsement from President Trump alongside backing from Sen. Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth. This open-seat race, vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's U.S. Senate bid in the solidly Republican Houston suburbs, reflects trader consensus on Bonck's momentum, endorsements, and fundraising edge exceeding $1 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand per recent FEC filings. A University of Houston poll shows Bonck leading by 12 points. While unlikely, deZevallos could challenge via consolidation of eliminated rivals' voters like Michael Pratt's 10.7%, aggressive negative campaigning, or a Bonck scandal ahead of the May 26 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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