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icon for क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?

क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?

icon for क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?

क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?

दिस 31

दिस 31

हाँ

4% संभावना
Polymarket

$15,526 वॉल्यूम

हाँ

4% संभावना
Polymarket

$15,526 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The substantial headroom created by the July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, forms the core driver of trader consensus against a U.S. default by the end of 2027. Current debt subject to the limit stands well below that ceiling, with projections from the Bipartisan Policy Center and Congressional Budget Office indicating it will most likely bind sometime between late winter and mid-summer 2027. Treasury extraordinary measures would then extend runway by an additional six to nine months before any payment interruption. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit ahead of binding constraints in prior cycles, reflecting institutional incentives to avoid the severe market, economic, and credit-rating disruptions that would follow a default on authorized obligations. Scenarios that could still shift odds include an unusually prolonged 2027 impasse driven by partisan disagreement over accompanying fiscal measures, or a sharp deterioration in revenue collections from an unforeseen downturn.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
वॉल्यूम
$15,526
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The substantial headroom created by the July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which raised the statutory debt limit by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, forms the core driver of trader consensus against a U.S. default by the end of 2027. Current debt subject to the limit stands well below that ceiling, with projections from the Bipartisan Policy Center and Congressional Budget Office indicating it will most likely bind sometime between late winter and mid-summer 2027. Treasury extraordinary measures would then extend runway by an additional six to nine months before any payment interruption. Congress has repeatedly raised or suspended the limit ahead of binding constraints in prior cycles, reflecting institutional incentives to avoid the severe market, economic, and credit-rating disruptions that would follow a default on authorized obligations. Scenarios that could still shift odds include an unusually prolonged 2027 impasse driven by partisan disagreement over accompanying fiscal measures, or a sharp deterioration in revenue collections from an unforeseen downturn.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
वॉल्यूम
$15,526
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?" Polymarket पर 2 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक अपने कर्ज़ पर डिफ़ॉल्ट कर देगा? 4% (4¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है।

आज तक, "क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?" ने कुल $15.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 5, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 2 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक अपने कर्ज़ पर डिफ़ॉल्ट कर देगा?" केवल 4% पर है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं।

"क्या अमेरिका 2027 तक कर्ज चुकाने में चूक कर सकता है?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।