Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका होर्मुज के माध्यम से वाणिज्यिक जहाज को एस्कॉर्ट करता है...?
अमेरिका होर्मुज के माध्यम से वाणिज्यिक जहाज को एस्कॉर्ट करता है...?
$3,860,897 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
30 अप्रैल
20%
$3,860,897 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल
$762,781 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,860,897समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,860,897समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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