Following the US special forces raid on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, active US military personnel have not conducted another verified terrestrial entry into Venezuela, per market resolution rules excluding maritime or aerial operations and intelligence activities. Trader consensus prices re-entry by June 30 at around 10%, driven by the operation's surgical success, subsequent withdrawal of ground forces, and shift to naval blockades enforcing oil sanctions alongside diplomatic support for a post-Maduro transition. No significant escalations—such as civil unrest, cartel violence, or regime remnants—have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, though US Marines' embassy security and a February general's visit fueled unresolved trader debates. Upcoming transition milestones or regional instability could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिकी सेनाएं... तक फिर से वेनेजुएला में प्रवेश करती हैं?
अमेरिकी सेनाएं... तक फिर से वेनेजुएला में प्रवेश करती हैं?
$1,281,932 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
30 जून
10%
$1,281,932 वॉल्यूम
30 जून
$197,169 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US special forces raid on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, active US military personnel have not conducted another verified terrestrial entry into Venezuela, per market resolution rules excluding maritime or aerial operations and intelligence activities. Trader consensus prices re-entry by June 30 at around 10%, driven by the operation's surgical success, subsequent withdrawal of ground forces, and shift to naval blockades enforcing oil sanctions alongside diplomatic support for a post-Maduro transition. No significant escalations—such as civil unrest, cartel violence, or regime remnants—have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, though US Marines' embassy security and a February general's visit fueled unresolved trader debates. Upcoming transition milestones or regional instability could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,281,932समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following the US special forces raid on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, active US military personnel have not conducted another verified terrestrial entry into Venezuela, per market resolution rules excluding maritime or aerial operations and intelligence activities. Trader consensus prices re-entry by June 30 at around 10%, driven by the operation's surgical success, subsequent withdrawal of ground forces, and shift to naval blockades enforcing oil sanctions alongside diplomatic support for a post-Maduro transition. No significant escalations—such as civil unrest, cartel violence, or regime remnants—have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, though US Marines' embassy security and a February general's visit fueled unresolved trader debates. Upcoming transition milestones or regional instability could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,281,932समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the US special forces raid on January 3, 2026, that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas, active US military personnel have not conducted another verified terrestrial entry into Venezuela, per market resolution rules excluding maritime or aerial operations and intelligence activities. Trader consensus prices re-entry by June 30 at around 10%, driven by the operation's surgical success, subsequent withdrawal of ground forces, and shift to naval blockades enforcing oil sanctions alongside diplomatic support for a post-Maduro transition. No significant escalations—such as civil unrest, cartel violence, or regime remnants—have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, though US Marines' embassy security and a February general's visit fueled unresolved trader debates. Upcoming transition milestones or regional instability could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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