Traders' consensus favors AITC at 58.6% implied probability to win West Bengal's Legislative Assembly election, aligning with recent opinion polls projecting Trinamool Congress seat leads of 140-223 amid Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister, while BJP at 40.6% reflects surging momentum from anti-incumbency, organizational gains, and the Special Intensive Revision that removed 9.1 million voters—disproportionately from TMC bastions—affecting 57 battleground seats with razor-thin 2021 margins. High-profile contests like Banerjee versus Suvendu Adhikari heighten stakes before two-phase voting on April 23 and 29, with results May 4.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापश्चिम बंगाल विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
पश्चिम बंगाल विधान सभा चुनाव विजेता
एआईटीसी 58.6%
भाजपा 40.6%
सीपीआई <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$1,883,597 वॉल्यूम
$1,883,597 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
एआईटीसी
59%
भाजपा
41%
सीपीआई
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
<1%
आईएनसी
<1%
बीजीपीएम
<1%
एआईटीसी 58.6%
भाजपा 40.6%
सीपीआई <1%
सीपीआई(एम) <1%
$1,883,597 वॉल्यूम
$1,883,597 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
एआईटीसी
$99,826 वॉल्यूम
59%
भाजपा
$150,851 वॉल्यूम
41%
सीपीआई
$792,255 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सीपीआई(एम)
$27,185 वॉल्यूम
<1%
आईएनसी
$21,707 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बीजीपीएम
$791,772 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders' consensus favors AITC at 58.6% implied probability to win West Bengal's Legislative Assembly election, aligning with recent opinion polls projecting Trinamool Congress seat leads of 140-223 amid Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister, while BJP at 40.6% reflects surging momentum from anti-incumbency, organizational gains, and the Special Intensive Revision that removed 9.1 million voters—disproportionately from TMC bastions—affecting 57 battleground seats with razor-thin 2021 margins. High-profile contests like Banerjee versus Suvendu Adhikari heighten stakes before two-phase voting on April 23 and 29, with results May 4.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,883,597समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Traders' consensus favors AITC at 58.6% implied probability to win West Bengal's Legislative Assembly election, aligning with recent opinion polls projecting Trinamool Congress seat leads of 140-223 amid Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister, while BJP at 40.6% reflects surging momentum from anti-incumbency, organizational gains, and the Special Intensive Revision that removed 9.1 million voters—disproportionately from TMC bastions—affecting 57 battleground seats with razor-thin 2021 margins. High-profile contests like Banerjee versus Suvendu Adhikari heighten stakes before two-phase voting on April 23 and 29, with results May 4.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
वॉल्यूम
$1,883,597समाप्ति तिथि
29 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders' consensus favors AITC at 58.6% implied probability to win West Bengal's Legislative Assembly election, aligning with recent opinion polls projecting Trinamool Congress seat leads of 140-223 amid Mamata Banerjee's frontrunner status as preferred chief minister, while BJP at 40.6% reflects surging momentum from anti-incumbency, organizational gains, and the Special Intensive Revision that removed 9.1 million voters—disproportionately from TMC bastions—affecting 57 battleground seats with razor-thin 2021 margins. High-profile contests like Banerjee versus Suvendu Adhikari heighten stakes before two-phase voting on April 23 and 29, with results May 4.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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