Trader consensus on Polymarket gives United Russia a 64.5% implied probability of achieving the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, where 450 seats are contested via half proportional party lists and half single-member districts, reflecting the party's incumbency with 315 current seats, administrative resources, and recent primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates as of April 13. New People's 29.9% odds stem from its upward polling trend to 12-15% in early April VCIOM and FOM surveys—up from under 9% in February—positioning the party, holding just 15 seats now, for outsized net increases amid economic pressures like rising prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-38%. LDPR trails at 5.1% despite stable 10-14% polls, while others lag due to lower baselines and Kremlin controls including redistricting in occupied territories. Upcoming campaign headquarters activities and expanded electronic voting could sway outcomes in this closely watched contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
रूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.9%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.1%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,475,808 वॉल्यूम
$5,475,808 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
<1%
रोदीना
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
<1%
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.9%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.1%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,475,808 वॉल्यूम
$5,475,808 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
$1,508,153 वॉल्यूम
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
$494,338 वॉल्यूम
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
$2,128,949 वॉल्यूम
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
$366,107 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
$328,670 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोदीना
$361,050 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
$288,541 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives United Russia a 64.5% implied probability of achieving the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, where 450 seats are contested via half proportional party lists and half single-member districts, reflecting the party's incumbency with 315 current seats, administrative resources, and recent primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates as of April 13. New People's 29.9% odds stem from its upward polling trend to 12-15% in early April VCIOM and FOM surveys—up from under 9% in February—positioning the party, holding just 15 seats now, for outsized net increases amid economic pressures like rising prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-38%. LDPR trails at 5.1% despite stable 10-14% polls, while others lag due to lower baselines and Kremlin controls including redistricting in occupied territories. Upcoming campaign headquarters activities and expanded electronic voting could sway outcomes in this closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,475,808समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives United Russia a 64.5% implied probability of achieving the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, where 450 seats are contested via half proportional party lists and half single-member districts, reflecting the party's incumbency with 315 current seats, administrative resources, and recent primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates as of April 13. New People's 29.9% odds stem from its upward polling trend to 12-15% in early April VCIOM and FOM surveys—up from under 9% in February—positioning the party, holding just 15 seats now, for outsized net increases amid economic pressures like rising prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-38%. LDPR trails at 5.1% despite stable 10-14% polls, while others lag due to lower baselines and Kremlin controls including redistricting in occupied territories. Upcoming campaign headquarters activities and expanded electronic voting could sway outcomes in this closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$5,475,808समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives United Russia a 64.5% implied probability of achieving the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, where 450 seats are contested via half proportional party lists and half single-member districts, reflecting the party's incumbency with 315 current seats, administrative resources, and recent primaries attracting over 2,000 candidates as of April 13. New People's 29.9% odds stem from its upward polling trend to 12-15% in early April VCIOM and FOM surveys—up from under 9% in February—positioning the party, holding just 15 seats now, for outsized net increases amid economic pressures like rising prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-38%. LDPR trails at 5.1% despite stable 10-14% polls, while others lag due to lower baselines and Kremlin controls including redistricting in occupied territories. Upcoming campaign headquarters activities and expanded electronic voting could sway outcomes in this closely watched contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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