Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
रूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.9%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.1%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,486,461 वॉल्यूम
$5,486,461 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
<1%
रोदीना
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
<1%
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.9%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.1%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,486,461 वॉल्यूम
$5,486,461 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
$1,509,822 वॉल्यूम
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
$495,961 वॉल्यूम
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
$2,130,466 वॉल्यूम
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
$367,652 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
$330,186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोदीना
$362,566 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
$289,809 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,486,461समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$5,486,461समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 65% probability that United Russia will achieve the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, buoyed by its incumbency dominance (currently holding over 320 seats), administrative resources, and primaries underway since March with over 2,000 applicants, including special military operation participants receiving vote bonuses. Recent polls reflect economic headwinds like rising food and utility prices eroding United Russia's support to 30-40% (down from earlier highs), while New People surges to 12-16% in early April WCIOM and FOM surveys, positioning the party—starting from just 13 seats—for potentially outsized gains in party-list and single-member districts amid Kremlin electoral engineering and opposition restrictions. Stagnant showings keep LDPR, KPRF, and others as longshots.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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