Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with over 300 current seats, dominance in single-member districts, and leading position in April polls averaging 35-50% on party lists despite a slight -1.7% trend amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People trails at 29.8%, buoyed by recent polling gains to 7-16% as a centrist challenger expanding its 15-seat base via March convention list approvals and youth appeal. United Russia's April primaries drew over 2,000 candidates including special military operation veterans, signaling rigorous preparations targeting 55% list votes and 195 of 225 districts, while tightened screening rules aim to counter opposition amid Kremlin electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting. LDPR and KPRF lag due to stagnant support around 10-14%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
रूसी संसदीय चुनाव में किस पार्टी को सबसे अधिक सीटें मिलेंगी?
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.7%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.2%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,501,031 वॉल्यूम
$5,501,031 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
<1%
रोदीना
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
<1%
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर) 65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल) 29.7%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR) 5.2%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ) <1%
$5,501,031 वॉल्यूम
$5,501,031 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
यूनाइटेड रूस (ईआर)
$1,512,776 वॉल्यूम
65%
न्यू पीपल (एनएल)
$497,941 वॉल्यूम
30%
रूस की लिबरल डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी (LDPR)
$2,134,872 वॉल्यूम
5%
रूसी संघ की कम्युनिस्ट पार्टी (केपीआरएफ)
$368,864 वॉल्यूम
<1%
जस्ट रशिया – फॉर ट्रुथ (SRZP)
$331,400 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रोदीना
$364,128 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सिविक प्लेटफॉर्म (जीपी)
$291,049 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with over 300 current seats, dominance in single-member districts, and leading position in April polls averaging 35-50% on party lists despite a slight -1.7% trend amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People trails at 29.8%, buoyed by recent polling gains to 7-16% as a centrist challenger expanding its 15-seat base via March convention list approvals and youth appeal. United Russia's April primaries drew over 2,000 candidates including special military operation veterans, signaling rigorous preparations targeting 55% list votes and 195 of 225 districts, while tightened screening rules aim to counter opposition amid Kremlin electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting. LDPR and KPRF lag due to stagnant support around 10-14%.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,501,031समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with over 300 current seats, dominance in single-member districts, and leading position in April polls averaging 35-50% on party lists despite a slight -1.7% trend amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People trails at 29.8%, buoyed by recent polling gains to 7-16% as a centrist challenger expanding its 15-seat base via March convention list approvals and youth appeal. United Russia's April primaries drew over 2,000 candidates including special military operation veterans, signaling rigorous preparations targeting 55% list votes and 195 of 225 districts, while tightened screening rules aim to counter opposition amid Kremlin electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting. LDPR and KPRF lag due to stagnant support around 10-14%.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
वॉल्यूम
$5,501,031समाप्ति तिथि
20 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors United Russia at 64.5% implied probability to secure the largest net seat gains in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantage with over 300 current seats, dominance in single-member districts, and leading position in April polls averaging 35-50% on party lists despite a slight -1.7% trend amid rising prices and economic discontent. New People trails at 29.8%, buoyed by recent polling gains to 7-16% as a centrist challenger expanding its 15-seat base via March convention list approvals and youth appeal. United Russia's April primaries drew over 2,000 candidates including special military operation veterans, signaling rigorous preparations targeting 55% list votes and 195 of 225 districts, while tightened screening rules aim to counter opposition amid Kremlin electoral engineering like expanded electronic voting. LDPR and KPRF lag due to stagnant support around 10-14%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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