Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary slightly favors Cait Conley at 46% implied probability over Beth Davidson's 39.5%, reflecting her national security veteran background and endorsements from groups like New Dems and VoteVets, positioning her as a stronger general election matchup against incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in this swing district. A March poll showed Davidson leading by six points with superior name recognition among primary voters, but the April 9 debate among the top three contenders—Conley, Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley—remained mostly cordial without major separations, sustaining the tight race. With early voting starting June 13 ahead of the June 23 primary, new polls, fundraising disclosures, or high-profile endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
Cait Conley 49%
Beth Davidson 38%
Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%
Mike Sacks 1.6%
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
Cait Conley
49%
Beth Davidson
38%
Effie Phillips-Staley
19%
Mike Sacks
2%
John Sullivan
1%
John Cappello
1%
Peter Chatzky
1%
Jessica Reinmann
<1%
Cait Conley 49%
Beth Davidson 38%
Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%
Mike Sacks 1.6%
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
Cait Conley
49%
Beth Davidson
38%
Effie Phillips-Staley
19%
Mike Sacks
2%
John Sullivan
1%
John Cappello
1%
Peter Chatzky
1%
Jessica Reinmann
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary slightly favors Cait Conley at 46% implied probability over Beth Davidson's 39.5%, reflecting her national security veteran background and endorsements from groups like New Dems and VoteVets, positioning her as a stronger general election matchup against incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in this swing district. A March poll showed Davidson leading by six points with superior name recognition among primary voters, but the April 9 debate among the top three contenders—Conley, Davidson, and Effie Phillips-Staley—remained mostly cordial without major separations, sustaining the tight race. With early voting starting June 13 ahead of the June 23 primary, new polls, fundraising disclosures, or high-profile endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested field.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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