Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary market positions Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability for the June 23 contest, driven by her national security expertise, strong fundraising—including a $710,000 Q1 haul—and endorsements from Reps. Pat Ryan and Jason Crow, appealing to suburban voters in this battleground Hudson Valley district held by GOP Rep. Mike Lawler. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds 28.5% on local name recognition and coalition-building record, per March polls showing her early lead, while Tarrytown Trustee Effie Phillips-Staley garners 14.6% from progressive outreach despite Israel policy risks in the Jewish-heavy area. The April 9 debate among the top three remained cordial, emphasizing electability against Lawler, with no post-debate polling yet shifting dynamics ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner
Cait Conley 51%
Beth Davidson 38%
Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%
Mike Sacks 1.7%
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
Cait Conley
48%
Beth Davidson
34%
Effie Phillips-Staley
14%
Mike Sacks
2%
John Sullivan
1%
John Cappello
1%
Peter Chatzky
1%
Jessica Reinmann
<1%
Cait Conley 51%
Beth Davidson 38%
Effie Phillips-Staley 10.9%
Mike Sacks 1.7%
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
$55,923 वॉल्यूम
Cait Conley
48%
Beth Davidson
34%
Effie Phillips-Staley
14%
Mike Sacks
2%
John Sullivan
1%
John Cappello
1%
Peter Chatzky
1%
Jessica Reinmann
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the NY-17 Democratic primary market positions Army veteran Cait Conley as the frontrunner at 59% implied probability for the June 23 contest, driven by her national security expertise, strong fundraising—including a $710,000 Q1 haul—and endorsements from Reps. Pat Ryan and Jason Crow, appealing to suburban voters in this battleground Hudson Valley district held by GOP Rep. Mike Lawler. Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson holds 28.5% on local name recognition and coalition-building record, per March polls showing her early lead, while Tarrytown Trustee Effie Phillips-Staley garners 14.6% from progressive outreach despite Israel policy risks in the Jewish-heavy area. The April 9 debate among the top three remained cordial, emphasizing electability against Lawler, with no post-debate polling yet shifting dynamics ahead of early voting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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