Anthropic's Claude.ai has faced persistent service disruptions throughout April 2026, logging incidents on 11 unique days through April 15—spanning elevated errors in model requests (e.g., Sonnet 4.6, Opus 4.6), authentication failures, API degradations, and login issues—per the official status page. This outage surge, fueled by capacity constraints amid booming demand for Claude's advanced large language model capabilities, has driven trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 12% on 9-11 days already nearly met. The April 15 three-hour disruption affecting Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code exemplifies ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges. Traders eye Anthropic's next updates for mitigation, as unresolved compute bottlenecks risk further incidents before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12+ 87%
9-11 13%
6-8 <1%
$64,163 वॉल्यूम
$64,163 वॉल्यूम
6-8
<1%
9-11
13%
12+
87%
12+ 87%
9-11 13%
6-8 <1%
$64,163 वॉल्यूम
$64,163 वॉल्यूम
6-8
<1%
9-11
13%
12+
87%
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude.ai has faced persistent service disruptions throughout April 2026, logging incidents on 11 unique days through April 15—spanning elevated errors in model requests (e.g., Sonnet 4.6, Opus 4.6), authentication failures, API degradations, and login issues—per the official status page. This outage surge, fueled by capacity constraints amid booming demand for Claude's advanced large language model capabilities, has driven trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 12% on 9-11 days already nearly met. The April 15 three-hour disruption affecting Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code exemplifies ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges. Traders eye Anthropic's next updates for mitigation, as unresolved compute bottlenecks risk further incidents before month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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