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क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?

Market icon

क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?

अप्रैल 30

मई 31

अप्रैल 30

मई 31

12+ 87%

9-11 13%

6-8 <1%

Polymarket

$64,163 वॉल्यूम

12+ 87%

9-11 13%

6-8 <1%

Polymarket

$64,163 वॉल्यूम

6-8

$9,492 वॉल्यूम

<1%

9-11

$7,898 वॉल्यूम

13%

12+

$14,484 वॉल्यूम

87%

This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude.ai has faced persistent service disruptions throughout April 2026, logging incidents on 11 unique days through April 15—spanning elevated errors in model requests (e.g., Sonnet 4.6, Opus 4.6), authentication failures, API degradations, and login issues—per the official status page. This outage surge, fueled by capacity constraints amid booming demand for Claude's advanced large language model capabilities, has driven trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 12% on 9-11 days already nearly met. The April 15 three-hour disruption affecting Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code exemplifies ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges. Traders eye Anthropic's next updates for mitigation, as unresolved compute bottlenecks risk further incidents before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.

Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.

A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.

This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$64,163
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude.ai has faced persistent service disruptions throughout April 2026, logging incidents on 11 unique days through April 15—spanning elevated errors in model requests (e.g., Sonnet 4.6, Opus 4.6), authentication failures, API degradations, and login issues—per the official status page. This outage surge, fueled by capacity constraints amid booming demand for Claude's advanced large language model capabilities, has driven trader consensus to an 87% implied probability for 12+ downtime days, with 12% on 9-11 days already nearly met. The April 15 three-hour disruption affecting Claude.ai, API, and Claude Code exemplifies ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges. Traders eye Anthropic's next updates for mitigation, as unresolved compute bottlenecks risk further incidents before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.

Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.

A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.

This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
वॉल्यूम
$64,163
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?" Polymarket पर 5 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 12+ 87% (87¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 9-11 13% पर है।

आज तक, "क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?" ने कुल $64.2K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 24, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 5 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "12+" 87% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "9-11" 13% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"क्या क्लॉड अप्रैल में __ दिनों में नीचे जाएगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।