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icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 48%

Michael Dell 45%

Sergey Brin 26.8%

Jensen Huang 23.3%

Polymarket

$46,108 Vol.

Larry Page 48%

Michael Dell 45%

Sergey Brin 26.8%

Jensen Huang 23.3%

Polymarket

$46,108 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$21,066 Vol.

68%

icon for Michael Dell

Michael Dell

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$7,498 Vol.

27%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$1,410 Vol.

23%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$1,193 Vol.

23%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,887 Vol.

21%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$905 Vol.

12%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$913 Vol.

10%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,746 Vol.

8%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$896 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$595 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,108
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$46,108
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Terkait

icon for Akankah Elon Musk menjadi orang terkaya pada 31 Desember?

Akankah Elon Musk menjadi orang terkaya pada 31 Desember?

96%
Ya
icon for Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?

42%
icon for Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

55%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Larry Page" di 68%, diikuti oleh "Sergey Brin" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 68¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2nd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $46.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2nd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Larry Page" di 68%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 68% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sergey Brin" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.