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icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

icon for Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Elon Musk 94.3%

Warren Buffett 1.2%

Larry Page <1%

Sergey Brin <1%

Polymarket

$1,870,931 Vol.

Elon Musk 94.3%

Warren Buffett 1.2%

Larry Page <1%

Sergey Brin <1%

Polymarket

$1,870,931 Vol.

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$179,289 Vol.

94%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$88,488 Vol.

1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$142,688 Vol.

1%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$84,835 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$177,057 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$130,582 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$336,961 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$365,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$308,248 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$57,672 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding lead in the richest person market stems from his roughly $690 billion net worth as of early August 2026, driven primarily by substantial stakes in SpaceX and Tesla that have kept him atop global wealth rankings since 2024. Recent SpaceX valuation gains and sustained Tesla performance have widened the gap over challengers like Larry Page, whose Google holdings trail by hundreds of billions. With only five months until year-end resolution, traders see limited time for a reversal absent major market swings or regulatory shifts that could compress Musk's private company holdings. An upset would require an extraordinary surge in another billionaire's assets or a steep decline in Musk's core valuations, both viewed as low-probability events given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,870,931
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding lead in the richest person market stems from his roughly $690 billion net worth as of early August 2026, driven primarily by substantial stakes in SpaceX and Tesla that have kept him atop global wealth rankings since 2024. Recent SpaceX valuation gains and sustained Tesla performance have widened the gap over challengers like Larry Page, whose Google holdings trail by hundreds of billions. With only five months until year-end resolution, traders see limited time for a reversal absent major market swings or regulatory shifts that could compress Musk's private company holdings. An upset would require an extraordinary surge in another billionaire's assets or a steep decline in Musk's core valuations, both viewed as low-probability events given current trajectories.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$1,870,931
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Elon Musk" di 94%, diikuti oleh "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 94¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" telah menghasilkan $1.9 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 12, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" adalah "Elon Musk" di 94%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 94% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Warren Buffett" di 1%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Orang terkaya pada tanggal 31 Desember 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.