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3rd richest person on December 31?

Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Jeff Bezos 30%

Mark Zuckerberg 28%

Sergey Brin 25%

Larry Page 20.0%

Polymarket

$22,861 Vol.

Jeff Bezos 30%

Mark Zuckerberg 28%

Sergey Brin 25%

Larry Page 20.0%

Polymarket

$22,861 Vol.

Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Jeff Bezos

$251 Vol.

21%

Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$458 Vol.

31%

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Sergey Brin

$270 Vol.

25%

Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Page

$6,562 Vol.

20%

Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Jensen Huang

$644 Vol.

19%

Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Warren Buffett

$765 Vol.

14%

Will Bernard Arnault be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Bernard Arnault

$233 Vol.

16%

Will Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Elon Musk

$231 Vol.

14%

Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Larry Ellison

$303 Vol.

24%

Will Steve Ballmer be 3rd richest person on December 31? icon

Steve Ballmer

$13,145 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus pins Mark Zuckerberg as the slim frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for 3rd richest by December 31, fueled by Meta Platforms' explosive stock rally and AI momentum, surging his net worth $4 billion in the latest session to challenge from 5th place ($243B). Sergey Brin (27%) clings to current 3rd ($270B) via Alphabet's parallel tech gains, edging Jeff Bezos (22%) despite their tie, while Larry Ellison (25.6%) fades on Oracle's $2.63B daily drop from 6th ($227B). Larry Page (20.1%), Jensen Huang (15.6%), and Bernard Arnault (15.5%) lurk amid volatile sector swings; Q2 earnings, AI product unveils, and market sentiment will be pivotal swing factors in this high-stakes wealth race.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$22,861
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus pins Mark Zuckerberg as the slim frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for 3rd richest by December 31, fueled by Meta Platforms' explosive stock rally and AI momentum, surging his net worth $4 billion in the latest session to challenge from 5th place ($243B). Sergey Brin (27%) clings to current 3rd ($270B) via Alphabet's parallel tech gains, edging Jeff Bezos (22%) despite their tie, while Larry Ellison (25.6%) fades on Oracle's $2.63B daily drop from 6th ($227B). Larry Page (20.1%), Jensen Huang (15.6%), and Bernard Arnault (15.5%) lurk amid volatile sector swings; Q2 earnings, AI product unveils, and market sentiment will be pivotal swing factors in this high-stakes wealth race.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$22,861
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mark Zuckerberg" di 31%, diikuti oleh "Sergey Brin" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 31¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 31% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "3rd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $22.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "3rd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Mark Zuckerberg" di 31%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 31% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sergey Brin" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.