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icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

Mark Zuckerberg 37.8%

Jeff Bezos 35.9%

Jensen Huang 35.0%

Bernard Arnault 13.9%

Polymarket

$24,648 Vol.

Mark Zuckerberg 37.8%

Jeff Bezos 35.9%

Jensen Huang 35.0%

Bernard Arnault 13.9%

Polymarket

$24,648 Vol.

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$740 Vol.

38%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$346 Vol.

36%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$796 Vol.

35%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$341 Vol.

14%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$6,729 Vol.

17%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$314 Vol.

4%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,067 Vol.

36%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$480 Vol.

32%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$13,455 Vol.

36%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$378 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Sergey Brin holds the market's strongest position at 45% implied probability to finish as the world's third-richest person on December 31, reflecting Alphabet's steady AI-driven gains and his substantial stake relative to peers. Steve Ballmer and Jeff Bezos trail closely at 36% and 36%, buoyed by Microsoft’s enterprise momentum and Amazon’s e-commerce resilience, while Jensen Huang, Mark Zuckerberg, and Warren Buffett sit just behind amid Nvidia’s semiconductor cycles and Meta’s advertising trends. Competitive dynamics hinge on fourth-quarter stock trajectories, earnings reports, and broader tech valuations shaped by AI investment, with Brin benefiting from Alphabet’s diversified exposure compared to more volatile single-stock bets like Tesla or Oracle. Traders weigh these factors against historical volatility in billionaire rankings, where late-year market swings can quickly reorder the field.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,648
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Sergey Brin holds the market's strongest position at 45% implied probability to finish as the world's third-richest person on December 31, reflecting Alphabet's steady AI-driven gains and his substantial stake relative to peers. Steve Ballmer and Jeff Bezos trail closely at 36% and 36%, buoyed by Microsoft’s enterprise momentum and Amazon’s e-commerce resilience, while Jensen Huang, Mark Zuckerberg, and Warren Buffett sit just behind amid Nvidia’s semiconductor cycles and Meta’s advertising trends. Competitive dynamics hinge on fourth-quarter stock trajectories, earnings reports, and broader tech valuations shaped by AI investment, with Brin benefiting from Alphabet’s diversified exposure compared to more volatile single-stock bets like Tesla or Oracle. Traders weigh these factors against historical volatility in billionaire rankings, where late-year market swings can quickly reorder the field.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,648
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Akankah Elon Musk menjadi orang terkaya pada 31 Desember?

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icon for Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

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Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sergey Brin" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Mark Zuckerberg" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "3rd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $24.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "3rd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Sergey Brin" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mark Zuckerberg" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "3rd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.