Bank of Canada policymakers are widely expected to hold the overnight target rate steady at 2.25% at today’s June 10 decision, reflecting the market-implied near-certainty of no change. Weak first-quarter GDP contraction pushed the economy into technical recession, while growth remains subdued amid U.S. tariff uncertainty and softer labor conditions. Headline CPI has risen to around 2.4% on elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, but core measures have held near the 2% target with limited pass-through to broader prices. This backdrop supports the current policy stance, though a sharper inflation acceleration or unexpected growth rebound could prompt a reassessment at future meetings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$95,723 Vol.
$95,723 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
50+ bps decrease
No
25 bps decrease
No
No change
Yes
Increase
No
No change 100.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
Increase <1%
$95,723 Vol.
$95,723 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$11,654 Vol.
No
25 bps decrease
$14,849 Vol.
No
No change
$42,115 Vol.
Yes
Increase
$27,106 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada policymakers are widely expected to hold the overnight target rate steady at 2.25% at today’s June 10 decision, reflecting the market-implied near-certainty of no change. Weak first-quarter GDP contraction pushed the economy into technical recession, while growth remains subdued amid U.S. tariff uncertainty and softer labor conditions. Headline CPI has risen to around 2.4% on elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, but core measures have held near the 2% target with limited pass-through to broader prices. This backdrop supports the current policy stance, though a sharper inflation acceleration or unexpected growth rebound could prompt a reassessment at future meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$95,723Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada policymakers are widely expected to hold the overnight target rate steady at 2.25% at today’s June 10 decision, reflecting the market-implied near-certainty of no change. Weak first-quarter GDP contraction pushed the economy into technical recession, while growth remains subdued amid U.S. tariff uncertainty and softer labor conditions. Headline CPI has risen to around 2.4% on elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, but core measures have held near the 2% target with limited pass-through to broader prices. This backdrop supports the current policy stance, though a sharper inflation acceleration or unexpected growth rebound could prompt a reassessment at future meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$95,723Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Bank of Canada policymakers are widely expected to hold the overnight target rate steady at 2.25% at today’s June 10 decision, reflecting the market-implied near-certainty of no change. Weak first-quarter GDP contraction pushed the economy into technical recession, while growth remains subdued amid U.S. tariff uncertainty and softer labor conditions. Headline CPI has risen to around 2.4% on elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments, but core measures have held near the 2% target with limited pass-through to broader prices. This backdrop supports the current policy stance, though a sharper inflation acceleration or unexpected growth rebound could prompt a reassessment at future meetings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?
100%
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
95%
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
57%
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